President Rick Perry? It’s still too early to pick a Republican nominee based on polls

2016Do you remember who had the lead in the Republican presidential race four years ago this week? Of course you don’t, because you know it doesn’t matter who is ahead in the odd-year September.

That said, jar your memory. Remember who the favorite was?

Wrong. It was Rick Perry.

The then-sitting Texas governor had surged to the lead in the polls beginning with an Aug. 21 Gallup survey that had him at 25 percent, with Mitt Romney a distant second at 14 percent.

Perry would register a 36-17 lead over Romney in a Sept. 1 George Washington University poll, and had a 28-21 lead on Romney as late as a Sept. 25 CNN poll, before fading in advance of the now-famous November debate gaffe that derailed his campaign thereafter.

Romney took the lead back from Perry in an Oct. 2 ABC News/Washington Post poll, which registered the first signs of the Herman Cain surge that saw Cain take the lead in a Nov. 9 GWU poll.

Then before the end of the year, it was briefly Newt Gingrich’s turn, then Romney’s again. As the primary season began to actually unfold after the first of the year, Rick Santorum had a brief lead, before Romney climbed back atop the ladder.

Keep this in mind the next time you turn on your favorite cable news channel for the latest breathless report on who’s in first and by how much.

To analogize the GOP primaries to a football season, we’re still in OTAs looking ahead to training camp before the preseason games before the season opener, with nobody blocking or tackling full-speed for another four months.

– Column by Chris Graham

Books from AFP

2018-19 UVA Basketball Preview: Just $1.99 on Amazon!

UVA Basketball finished the 2017-18 season ranked at the top of the national polls. Augusta Free Press editor Chris Graham offers his insight and analysis on the 2018-19 'Hoos, breaking down the roster, the legacy of coach Tony Bennett, and how the loss to UMBC could fuel a run through March Madness next spring.

The Worst Wrestling Pay-Per-View Ever: Just $3.49 on Amazon!

Chris Graham offers a glimpse behind the curtain of the pro wrestling business in his new book, The Worst Wrestling Pay-Per-View Ever, the inside story of the 2011 Night of Legends, a live pay-per-view event featuring stars including WWE Hall of Famers Kevin Nash, "Hacksaw" Jim Duggan and The Rock 'n Roll Express that was met with almost universally negative reviews.

Mad About U: History of University Hall available on Amazon for just $5.99!

Mad About U: Four Decades of at University Hall is a comprehensive book covering the players, coaches and memories of University Hall at the University of Virginia. Join us as we look back at the memories from more than 40 years in U Hall.

News From Around the Web

Shop Google