jump to example.com
newsletter linked in

Poll: Sarah Palin top choice among Alaska Republicans for Senate

sarahpalinheader2Alaska should be a top tier pick up opportunity for Senate Republicans next year, but their top choice of a candidate is Sarah Palin, according to a new Public Policy Polling survey.

Thirty-six percent of GOP primary voters in the state say they’d like Palin to be their standard bearer against Mark Begich to 26 percent for Mead Treadwell, 15 percent for Dan Sullivan, and 12 percent for Joe Miller. Palin leads mostly based on her strength with very conservative voters, where she gets 43 percent to 20 percent for Treadwell, but she also leads him 28/25 with moderates.

The problem for Republicans with a Palin candidacy is that even though she is in good standing with the party base, voters overall don’t like her at all. She has a 39/58 favorability rating, including 33/64 with key independent voters. There’s a lot of division about how strong her ties to the state even are anymore – only 47 percent of voters consider her to still be an Alaskan while 46 percent don’t, and 37 percent of voters in the state think it would be more appropriate for her to run for the Senate from Arizona to 41 percent who say Alaska.

It all adds up to a 52/40 lead for Begich in a hypothetical match up with Palin. He leads by 21 points with independents, 56/35, and takes 20% of the Republican vote. It’s a slight improvement for Palin from February when we found her trailing Begich 54/38, but she’s very much in a hole.

The best Republican hope for this seat is Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell and the good news for the GOP is that if Palin sits it out he, and not 2010 nominee Joe Miller, is the next choice of the party base. In a three way primary Treadwell gets 33 percent to 25 percent for Sullivan and 24 percent for Miller. And in a head to head with Miller, Treadwell leads 53/30. Even among Republican primary voters Miller has a dreadful 26/53 favorability rating.

Treadwell still trails Begich, but only by a 44/40 margin. That’s narrowed from 47/39 on our February poll. Treadwell has a +6 favorability rating at 35/29 and has room to grow with 36% of voters still not knowing enough about him to have formed an opinion.

Alaskans are closely divided on Begich with 42 percent approving and 41 percent disapproving of him. Begich’s biggest complication though is probably how voters in the state feel about Barack Obama – just 39 percent approve of the job he’s doing to 57 percent who disapprove. Begich does lead Sullivan (46/39) and Miller (55/32) should either of them slip through the primary.

This analysis is also available online: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/07/palin-top-pick-of-alaska-republicans.html

 
Top Stories
a

Video: AFP editor Chris Graham breaks down WWE Battleground

AFP editor Chris Graham reviews WWE Battleground. Was the Dean Ambrose win in the main event a surprise?

Hillary Clinton, and her problem with her left flank

Even though polls somehow have most of us having already decided between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, it’s not as if most of those who have supposedly locked in our choices necessarily like it.

March on McAuliffe: Hundreds protest pipeline

Activists marched to Governor McAuliffe’s house on Saturday to demand that he put the welfare of people ahead of the interests of polluters.

Hillary Clinton taps Tim Kaine as running mate

Presumptive Democratic Party presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has tapped U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Va., as her running mate in the 2016 presidential campaign.

Boring ol' Tim Kaine

My first brush of politics with Tim Kaine involved turkeys, and breakfast at a Bob Evans.

Familiar story: UVA uncertain about QB heading into camp

The old saying about quarterbacks is that if your team has two, it doesn’t really have one. Well, UVA has three quarterbacks, so that’s worse, right?

Justin Fuente: Virginia Tech still undecided on QB

Virginia Tech head coach Justin Fuente is something of a quarterback whisperer. Which is a good thing, because he has a lot of work to do in that area.

Bud Foster will bring stability to culture of change at Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster is a rare source of continuity in the wake of a major coaching change.

UVA football undergoing culture change: Will it be enough to turn things around?

New UVA football coach Bronco Mendenhall had a message ready for his new team when he met them for the first time.

Virginia unemployment rate drops to 3.7 percent

Virginia’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 3.7 percent in June.

 
Discussion
 
Recent News

AFP Business

Your One-Stop Media Shop

Augusta Free Press LLC provides clients in the Shenandoah Valley and Central Virginia and beyond with marketing and PR solutions including web design, magazine/brochure, TV/radio, social media and overall marketing campaign design and implementation.
 

Advertise

Get information on readership and advertising online with us.
.

AFP Classes

Augusta Free Press offers a series of hour-long classes on website design, marketing strategy, social media, event planning and more.
.

Web Design

You want a new website, but don’t have the first clue as to how to build one. That’s our job. Get your business online for as little as $1,299.
.

Graphic Design

Whether you need a fresh business card design, rack card, ad, flyer or full magazine design, we can help with all your graphic-design needs.
.

Marketing/PR

Augusta Free Press manages advertising campaigns for small- and medium-sized businesses across Virginia. You don’t need to hire a full-time marketing coordinator. Bring the experience of the Augusta Free Press team to work for you – for a fraction of the cost.
.

Search Engine Optimization

The prettiest website in the world is like a tree falling in the forest with no one there to hear it. If your website hasn’t been search engine optimized, no one is going to see it or hear it – and it’s not going to work for you.


Video/Audio

Web videos, TV and radio commercials, DVDs – Augusta Free Press LLC has you covered when it comes to video and audio production.
.