betting golf picks

Numerous people bet on golf each year and rely on golf picks when doing so. The right expert picks can help you place informed wagers and win more money. But where do you find accurate golf predictions?

You can rely on the updated golf picks on this page. Our team of experts provides free golf betting picks on a routine basis. This page also discusses more on golf predictions in general and why they’re crucial to serious bettors.

golf picks Justin Thomas

The Latest Golf Picks Today

Looking for help in making winning golf bets? You can consult our team’s golf predictions for today and every day. Augusta Free Press betting experts frequently examine upcoming PGA tournament fields and look for value and steals.

Whether you’re looking for golf picks sleepers this week or probable winners, you can borrow from our research. We update our selections after every round of major PGA events. Therefore, we highly encourage you to check here often for the latest golf predictions this week.

2022-23 Golf Favorites

We pride ourselves on making relevant golf picks this week and every other week. Our goal is to stay up to date and deliver timely betting information. But you may want a broader overview, including futures for pro events.

You can see the current odds on the 2023 PGA Championship below. Do note, though, that you’ll need to visit the relevant betting site to find updated odds.

Player BetOnline XBet MyBookie BetUS Bovada Sportsbetting.ag
Justin Thomas +1200 +1125 +1125 +1000 +1400 +1200
Jon Rahm +1200 +1050 +1050 +1000 +1200 +1200
Rory McIlroy +1200 +1150 +1175 +1100 +1100 +1400
Scottie Scheffler +1400 +1275 +1950 +1200 +2100 +1400
Collin Morikawa +1400 +1800 +1800 +1600 +2500 +2500
Cameron Smith +1600 +1875 +1875 +1800 +2000 +1600
Xander Schauffele +2000 +1950 +1950 +1800 +1000 +2000
Dustin Johnson +2500 +1875 +1875 +1800 +2200 +2500
Jordan Spieth +2500 +1850 +1850 +2000 +2500 +3300
Patrick Cantlay +2500 +2100 +2100 +2000 +2500 +2200

Augusta Free Press Golf Expert Picks & Predictions

golf odds BetOnline

The PGA majors are golf’s biggest events and draw the most betting action. Not surprisingly, those seeking golf predictions and picks are usually focusing on the majors. If you’re in this crowd, you might appreciate our golf expert picks on upcoming majors. Note that odds behind all of these golf predictions are subject to change.

2023 Masters – April 6-9, 2023 (Augusta, GA)

Dustin Johnson earned the green jacket last year, but he has just +2000 odds of winning now. Nobody has repeated at the Masters since Tiger Woods did it in 2001 and ’02. We don’t see Johnson breaking this streak and winning in 2023.

Rory McIlroy currently has the best odds of winning (+1100), which seems reasonable given his current #3 world ranking. He’s playing well right now and has finished in the top 10 of many recent tournaments. Scottie Scheffler (ranked #1) comes in just behind McIlroy with +1200 odds and is another good bet due to his consistency.

2023 PGA Championship – May 18-21, 2023 (Rochester, NY)

Defending champion Justin Thomas (+1000) is the PGA Championship favorite at most golf betting sites. He has won this tourney twice in the last six years (2017, ’22) and is a worthy bet. Jon Rahm (+1000), McIlroy (+1100), and Scheffler (+1200) sit just behind Thomas in odds. They rank sixth, third, and first in the world, respectively.

Cameron Smith has longer odds (+1800) and is an interesting pick due to his early majors success. He’s finished top three in debuts at the PGA Championship and The Open and seems destined to win a major.

2023 US Open – June 15-18, 2023 (Los Angeles, CA)

McIlroy and Thomas (both +1200) currently sit as futures favorites for the US Open. Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2000) and Rahm (+1400) have won the last two US Opens in 2022 and 2021, respectively.

Xander Schauffele is an exciting pick due to how he has nine top 10 finishes in Majors since 2017. It’s only a matter of time before the 28-year-old breaks through. The Californian will be looking for his first major in his home state.

The Open Championship – July 20-23, 2023 (Hoylake, England)

McIlroy has a decided advantage at online sportsbooks right now with +900 odds. McIlroy will be playing south of his native Northern Ireland and won The Open in 2014. Rahm (+1200) and defending Open champ Cameron Smith (+1300) are a distant second and third.

Along with McIlroy, Rahm is a player to look for in this field too. The Spaniard drives the ball as well as anyone, which could be big if England’s coastal winds kick up.

What are Golf Picks?

Our expert golf picks represent one or more players whom we think can win a tournament. With The Open, for example, we believe that both McIlroy and Rahm have strong chances to win in 2023.

Our golf predictions vary between short-term and long-term (futures) odds. You’ll find our most up-to-date selections under the Golf Picks for Today section. Meanwhile, Augusta Free Press experts provide futures picks in the Golf Expert Picks & Predictions area. That said, you get a nice mix of golf picks for this week and future months.

We base our predictions on a combination of betting odds and current circumstances/player form. Regarding the former, bookies are excellent at handicapping pro golfers’ chances of winning. If a well-established bookmaker thinks Jordan Spieth has +1800 odds, then they’re normally not far off.

As for circumstances and form, Xander Schauffele, for example, has played really well in majors without winning one. He’s a good bet to win a major this year or next due to his consistent, high-level play.

BetUS golf predictions

Golf Picks Against the Spread

Spread betting isn’t as popular as it is in football or basketball per se, but it is relevant in match play. It especially becomes notable during the Ryder Cup, where top American and European golfers pair off and compete.

Against the spread (ATS) records are valuable in these instances. An ATS record indicates how a particular golfer performs against the spread. These records help determine if a certain pro is worthwhile on the spread. Here’s an example:

  • Patrick Cantley has a 10-6 ATS record.
  • This means that he’s beating the spread 62.5% of the time.
  • Based on ATS record alone, Cantley is a good pick in match play.

Golf Picks and Parlays

A parlay features multiple picks on the same ticket. You need to win every outcome for a winning wager, making parlays difficult to beat consistently. Therefore, these wagers pay more than the average moneyline or point spread bet.

Golf parlay bets don’t normally involve futures, such as who’ll win a tournament. After all, parlays are already tough enough without adding +1500 odds or higher for an outcome. Match play and other propositions are more common than futures in golf parlay betting. Here’s an example of a parlay:

  • Collin Morikawa to beat Shane Lowry -155
  • Dustin Johnson to finish top five +120
  • Sergio Garcia over Marc Leishman in 3 ball -130
  • This 3-team parlay will pay 5.4-to-1 if successful

Cameron Smith golf picks

What are Golf Computer Picks?

Knowledgeable human oddsmakers, handicappers, and experts do a good job of making golf predictions and picks. But computer picks are becoming a bigger and bigger part of the equation. Golf computer predictions rely on algorithms and simulations to provide picks.

They have the advantage of cycling through a wealth of information in seconds. Computer golf picks also don’t fall for cognitive bias, such as choosing a favorite player or team. Instead, they only rely on the information and make non-emotional choices. That said, computer golf predictions can be highly valuable to bettors.

One downside, though, is that computer picks still rely on humans for guidance and direction. If the person developing the algorithm uses non-essential or not enough stats, the computer golf picks won’t be great.

Additionally, these predictions are merely simulations and number crunching—not guarantees. Too many bettors fall into the habit of thinking that algorithms are solid gold. If this were true, golf AI would solve every single prediction and golf betting would become a moot point.

Best Golf Betting Sites

You’ve seen our golf picks—now where do you put them to use? We’ve reviewed dozens of golf online sportsbooks to bring you the elite regarding odds, bonuses, markets, and customer support. You can check out our recommendations on the best golf betting sites below.

Where to Find Golf Expert Picks

Our Augusta Free Press team puts lots of work into providing solid golf picks. We’re comfortable recommending that you use our golf predictions this week or any other when betting. However, you may want additional expert opinions for cross-referencing purposes.

ESPN and CBS Sports are a couple of our favorite golf authorities. Both media networks employ industry experts to provide accurate golf picks. We suggest that you use their golf predictions this weekend if looking to bet now.

Twitter is another excellent source for golf expert picks. You can find various journalists and professional handicappers who tweet free golf picks and predictions.

How we Make Golf Predictions and Picks

As covered earlier, we rely on both oddsmakers and current form to make our golf picks. Here are some factors that go into our decision-making process:

  • Odds at golf betting sites.
  • Golfers’ form in recent majors and other tournaments.
  • Players’ previous history at certain tourneys.
  • Special skills that suit particular courses (e.g., Rahm’s driving skills at Royal Liverpool).

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Jeremyolson

Jeremy Olson is a casino and sports betting writer from Van Wert, Ohio. He got into gambling in 2005 after becoming a so-so online poker player. Jeremy started playing casino games and betting on sports shortly thereafter. He's had more success with casino games and sports betting—versus online poker—and regularly writes about both subjects.