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ACC Bracket Watch: Movers and shakers after Saturday’s big games

Chris Graham

Virginia and North Carolina got big road wins on Saturday, which, flip side, means Miami and Virginia Tech suffered big home losses.

Wake Forest got a win it needed at home against Notre Dame. Duke held serve against a depleted Florida State.

How does it all factor in to the ACC Bracket Watch?

 

Locks


Duke

dukeRecord: 23-4 (13-3 ACC)
SOS/OOC: 72/100

Quad 1: 5-1
Quad 2: 4-2
Quad 3: 7-1
Quad 4: 7-0

Road: 6-2
Neutral: 2-0

Avg. NET win: 136
Avg. NET loss: 65

BPI: 11
NET: 12
Sagarin: 7
KPI: 15
SOR: 10
KenPom: 9
Avg: 10.7

Next up: At Virginia (17-10, 11-6 ACC), which won at Duke, 69-68, on Feb. 7, on Wednesday (7 p.m.)

 

Should Be In


Notre Dame

notre dameRecord: 19-8 (12-4 ACC)
SOS/OOC: 58/30

Quad 1: 2-8
Quad 2: 4-1
Quad 3: 7-1
Quad 4: 5-0

Road: 7-4
Neutral: 3-0

Avg. NET win: 155
Avg. NET loss: 52

BPI: 60
NET: 57
Sagarin: 60
KPI: 62
SOR: 30
KenPom: 58
Avg.: 54.5

Next up: At home vs. Syracuse (14-12, 8-7 ACC) on Wednesday (7 p.m.)


Wake Forest

wake forestRecord: 21-7 (11-6 ACC)
SOS/OOC: 92/333

Quad 1: 1-4
Quad 2: 6-3
Quad 3: 5-0
Quad 4: 9-0

Road: 5-4
Neutral: 2-1

Avg. NET win: 167
Avg. NET loss: 54

BPI: 34
NET: 40
Sagarin: 43
KPI: 48
SOR: 31
KenPom: 32
Avg.: 38.0

Next up: At Clemson (12-14, 4-12 ACC) on Wednesday (8 p.m.)


North Carolina

north carolinaRecord: 19-8 (11-5 ACC)
SOS/OOC: 57/133

Quad 1: 2-7
Quad 2: 3-0
Quad 3: 8-0
Quad 4: 6-1

Road: 6-3
Neutral: 0-3

Avg. NET win: 142
Avg. NET loss: 46

BPI: 36
NET: 43
Sagarin: 31
KPI: 47
SOR: 28
KenPom: 43
Avg.: 38.0

Next up: Louisville (12-14, 6-10 ACC) on Monday (7 p.m.)


Miami

miamiRecord: 19-8 (11-5 ACC)
SOS/OOC: 64/130

Quad 1: 4-1
Quad 2: 5-4
Quad 3: 6-3
Quad 4: 4-0

Road: 7-2
Neutral: 2-2

Avg. NET win: 133
Avg. NET loss: 72

BPI: 71
NET: 65
Sagarin: 69
KPI: 33
SOR: 37
KenPom: 67
Avg.: 57.0

Next up: At Pitt (11-17, 6-11 ACC) on Tuesday (8 p.m.)

 

Work to Do


Virginia

uva athleticsRecord: 17-10 (11-6 ACC)
SOS/OOC: 60/136

Quad 1: 3-5
Quad 2: 4-2
Quad 3: 3-3
Quad 4: 7-0

Road: 5-6
Neutral: 2-0

Avg. NET win: 156
Avg. NET loss: 78

BPI: 59
NET: 80
Sagarin: 59
KPI: 64
SOR: 63
KenPom: 74
Avg: 66.5

Next up: Duke (23-4, 13-3 ACC) on Wednesday (7 p.m.)


Virginia Tech

virginia tech logoRecord: 16-11 (8-8 ACC)
SOS/OOC: 80/128

Quad 1: 0-5
Quad 2: 5-4
Quad 3: 5-2
Quad 4: 6-0

Road: 5-5
Neutral: 1-2

Avg. NET win: 172
Avg. NET loss: 64

BPI: 23
NET: 41
Sagarin: 34
KPI: 84
SOR: 77
KenPom: 34
Avg.: 48.2

Next up: At Georgia Tech (11-15, 4-11 ACC) on Wednesday (9 p.m.)

Story by Chris Graham

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Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to Substack or his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected].

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