UVA Football | A look at the second-half schedule, with an eye on Charlotte

Virginia is 3-0 in the ACC for the first time since 2007, 5-1 for the first time since 2017, ranked for the first time since 2019.

The bye week splits the second neatly into two, giving a writer like me a good excuse to look ahead at the second-half schedule, and license to try to prognosticate how things might play out.

Also: there’s no material from press conferences to use to fill up the column inches.

We need content, basically.

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Oct. 18: Washington State (3-2)

ESPN Analytics: UVA 95.2 percent win probability

Washington State gave up 59 points in back-to-back losses to North Texas and Washington in Weeks 3 and 4 before rebounding with a 20-3 win over one-win Colorado State in Week 5.

The Cougars are coming off a bye week, which should help with the cross-country travel.

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Oct. 25: at North Carolina (2-3, 0-1 ACC)

ESPN Analytics: UVA 87.1 percent win probability

Will Bill Belichick still be around for this one? Probably.

UNC gets a chance to get back on track next week at Cal, late on a Friday night.

They’ll likely be 2-4, 0-2 coming into our game in two weeks.

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Nov. 1: at Cal (4-2, 1-1 ACC)

ESPN Analytics: UVA 72.4 percent win probability

The true freshman QB, Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele – say that one time fast – is putting up good numbers (1,487 yards, nine TDs) for a young’un.

Cal beat Minnesota at home and Boston College on the road.

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Nov. 8: Wake Forest (3-2, 1-2 ACC)

ESPN Analytics: UVA 85.9 percent win probability

Hey, Wake won the road in Blacksburg, which Virginia hasn’t done since 1998, and played well in losses to NC State and Georgia Tech.

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Nov. 15: at Duke (4-2, 3-0 ACC)

ESPN Analytics: Duke 58.5 percent win probability

The big one. If things play out as expected, these two could be playing for a spot in Charlotte.

I wonder how much of the win probability is home-field advantage that isn’t really a factor at Duke.

We’ll probably have more fans there than they will.

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Nov. 29: Virginia Tech (2-4, 1-1 ACC)

ESPN Analytics: UVA 81.8 percent win probability

I don’t care about the win probability, the records, the rest.

It’s Tech.

You will not feel good going into this one.