Update: 7:15 p.m. We’re just getting started on the night. The polls closed in Virginia at 7 p.m., so the election officers statewide are hard at work trying to get the count going.
Update 7:17 p.m. This is my cheat sheet for tracking the Harris-Trump race through looking at their results in our local coverage area.
Albemarle County
- 2020 turnout: 64,657
- 2020 result: Biden 65.7%
Charlottesville
- 2020 turnout: 24,205
- 2020 result: Biden 85.5%
Harrisonburg
- 2020 turnout: 17,086
- 2020 result: Biden 64.5%
Staunton
- 2020 turnout: 12,990
- 2020 result: Biden 53.7%
Augusta County
- 2020 turnout: 42,278
- 2020 result: Trump 72.6%
Rockingham County
- 2020 turnout: 43,811
- 2020 result: Trump 69.3 percent
Waynesboro
- 2020 turnout: 10,717
- 2020 result: Trump 51.4%
Update: 7:19 p.m. And now, my statewide cheat sheet.
Fairfax County
- 2020 turnout: 600,823
- 2020 result: Biden 69.9%
Henrico County
- 2020 turnout: 183,152
- 2020 result: Biden 63.6%
Loudoun County
- 2020 turnout: 224,862
- 2020 result: Biden 61.5%
Newport News
- 2020 turnout: 81,203
- 2020 result: Biden 65.4%
Norfolk
- 2020 turnout: 89,881
- 2020 result: Biden 71.7%
Prince William County
- 2020 turnout: 228,056
- 2020 result: Biden 62.6%
Richmond
- 2020 turnout: 111,159
- 2020 result: Biden 82.9%
Spotsylvania County
- 2020 turnout: 75,317
- 2020 result: Trump 52.3%
Stafford County
- 2020 turnout: 79,625
- 2020 result: Biden 50.5%
Virginia Beach
- 2020 turnout: 227,561
- 2020 result: Biden 51.6%
Update: 7:37 p.m. Florida was a wildcard state for me to watch, with the last few polls from the Republican pollsters have the race between Trump +4 and Trump +7.
With 73% of the vote in, it’s Trump +9.
Update: 7:44 p.m. Surprising early returns from Fairfax County, which went 69.9% to Joe Biden in 2020.
With 40% of the votes in, Fairfax County is going 69% for Kamala Harris.
Update: 7:46 p.m. More surprising early numbers from Northern Virginia, from Loudoun County, which went 61.5% for Biden in 2020, and is going 61% for Harris with 63% of its votes counted.
Update: 8:06 p.m. Back down in Florida, Republican Rick Scott, who had a four- to eight-point lead in the final -pre-election nonpartisan polls, has a 12-point lead on Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell with 81 percent of the votes counted.
Update: 8:25 p.m. The Election Day voting in Staunton is complete, and Donald Trump won the Nov. 5 voting, 51.6$ to 45.7%.
Raw vote: Trump 3,094, Harris 2,741.
There were 5,833 votes cast on Election Day.
There were 6,867 early votes cast that have yet to be counted.
Update: 9:00 p.m. Waynesboro finally has some numbers in, and there’s a near-statistical improbability in the first report.
The total number of votes reported was 11,089. The first report in the At-Large Waynesboro City Council race has the Republican nominee, Jeremy Sloat, as the winner, by a raw vote margin of 4,951 to 4,512 votes for former mayor Bobby Henderson, with 121 write-in votes.
If this holds up, 1,505 voters – 13.6 percent – just didn’t vote in the At-Large race.
That would be … odd.
In the other two races, independent Lorie Strother defeated Republican Dave Goetze in the Ward A race by a 963-750 margin.
Strother’s total comes to 56.2% of the votes in Ward A.
In Ward B, independent Terry Short Jr. defeated Republican Will Flory by a 1,660-1,243 margin.
Short’s total comes to 57.1 percent of the votes in Ward B.
We’re going to keep watching the odd reporting in the At-Large race.
Update: 9:41 p.m. Not looking good for the Kamala Harris side.
Harris will win Virginia, but not by the 10-point margin that Biden had in 2020. It’ll be more four to five points.
Harris is 4.5 points behind Biden in Loudoun and Prince William, three points behind Biden in Fairfax, eight points behind in Alexandria and Arlington.
Nationally, DecisionDeskHQ is projecting Trump the winner in North Carolina, where the polls had been trending in her favor in the last week.
Mecklenburg County, home to Charlotte, gave Biden a 200,000-vote win in 2020, and the margin at this writing between Trump and Harris is 97,000 votes, so, there’s still hope.
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Chris Graham
