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Fall foliage outlook: Not good, because of the ongoing Mid-Atlantic drought

Fall Foliage at Sherando Lake
Photo: © pabrady63/Adobe Stock

The ongoing drought in the Mid-Atlantic is likely to impact our fall foliage season here in our part of Virginia.

AccuWeather released its outlook for the 2026 fall leaf-peeping season this week, and, it’s not good.

What we can expect: leaves to change color and drop earlier than usual, meaning, a shorter viewing season than we’re used to.

“Recent rain can certainly help, but it can’t completely erase the impact of a difficult growing season,” said Paul Pastelok, the lead long-range expert at AccuWeather. “That’s why there could be a noticeable difference in the quality of the foliage over relatively short distances this year.”

Another factor to consider: AccuWeather is forecasting an uptick in tropical activity along the Mid-Atlantic coast, southern New England and parts of the Carolinas during September.

A tropical system bringing strong winds and heavy rain would also contribute to shortening the viewing window in affected areas.

accuweather fall foliage forecast

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Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to Substack or his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected].