Game Preview: What UVA Basketball fans need to know about Stanford

Don’t sleep on Stanford if you get a big lead on them, like Virginia Tech did on Wednesday night in Blacksburg.

The Cardinal (13-3, 2-1 ACC, NET: 70) trailed by 12 with 2:18 to go, but closed on a 14-1 run, with Ebuka Okorie scoring 11 of his game-high 31 points, the final three on a stepback jumper with three seconds left, in the 69-68 win.

At first glance, the 70 NET rating looks low, because Stanford is 3-0 in Quad 1 games (at Tech, Louisville, Saint Louis).

It’s the Quad 3 home loss to Seattle (10-6, NET: 119) and the Quad 4 home loss to UNLV (6-7, NET: 171) that are doing them in right now.

Next week is treacherous: Stanford and Cal (13-3, 1-2 ACC, NET: 65) both get to share visits from Duke (14-1, 3-0 ACC, NET: 4) and North Carolina (13-2, 1-1 ACC, NET: 22).

Wooga.

Stanford rotation

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Okorie, a 6’2” freshman, is, you know, pretty good – 22.6 ppg, 3.6 rebounds/g, 3.1 assists/g, 44.9% FG, 33.3% 3FG.

He also gets to the free-throw line a lot – 8.5 FTA/g, shooting 81.5%.

Power forward Chisholm Okpara, a 6’8” senior, also gets to the line a lot – 6.9 FTA/g.

Okpara’s vitals: 14.6 ppg, 4.0 rebounds/g, 39.8% FG, 30.9% 3FG.

We’ll worry about fouls with our starting point guard, Dallin Hall (3.7 fouls/40, fouled out twice this season), and our starting four, Thijs de Ridder (4.5 fouls/40, fouled out three times this season).

Key contributors:

• 6’1” senior Benny Gealer: 10.5 ppg, 43.8% FG, 44.0% 3FG
• 6’9” senior AJ Rohosy: 8.0 ppg, 5.3 rebounds/g, 55.8% FG
• 6’1” senior Jeremy Dent-Smith: 6.7 ppg, 30.6% FG, 31.9% 3FG
• 6’6” junior Ryan Agarwal: 6.4 ppg, 3.9 rebounds/g, 39.8% FG, 39.1% 3FG
• 6’10” sophomore Aidan Cammann: 5.4 ppg, 3.8 rebounds/g, 57.4% FG, 27.3% 3FG
• 6’10” freshman Oskar Giltay: 4.3 ppg, 5.6 rebounds/g, 63.9% FG

Analytics

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Data: KenPom; rankings: among 365 D1 teams

Topline

• Offense: Stanford-1.135 PPP (93), UVA-1.227 PPP (17)
• Defense: Stanford-1.021 PPP (66), UVA-0.987 PPP (29)
• Tempo: Stanford-68.2 (193), UVA-66.97 (248)
• Bench minutes: Stanford-31.3% (228), UVA-36.7% (86)

Keys to Odom Ball

• Threes (offense): Stanford-34.4% (150), UVA-37.2% (36)
• Threes (defense): Stanford-33.2% (153), UVA-29.6% (30)
• Rebounds (offense): Stanford-34.4% (75), UVA-40.5% (5)
• Rebounds (defense): Stanford-72.2% (69), UVA-70.4% (127)
• Turnover rate (offense): Stanford-15.7% (80), UVA-15.6% (77)
• Turnover rate (defense): Stanford-20.7% (29), UVA-16.6% (214)

Game Details

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Stanford (13-3, 2-1 ACC, NET: 70) at Virginia (13-2, 2-1 ACC, NET: 19)
Time: 2:15 p.m. ET
TV: The CW (Thom Brennaman/Mike Gminski)

Forecast

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• KenPom: Virginia 80-68
• BartTorvik: Virginia 80-68
• ESPN BPI: Virginia +11.8