Women’s Basketball: What the ’Hoos need to do to clinch NCAA bid

It’s going to be … close. Virginia (19-10) had two chances to punch its ticket to the 2026 NCAA Tournament last week, but lost at home to North Carolina and Virginia Tech, the latter in criminal fashion – one of the worst endgame calls you will ever see.

Good news: the ‘Hoos have a chance in the 8-9 game at the ACC Tournament on Thursday to get another quality win over a Clemson team (20-10, 11-7 ACC, NET: 44) that itself is on the NCAA bubble.

Win that one, and UVA gets a shot at top seed Duke (21-8, 16-2, NET: 10) on Friday.

I think one win clinches a bid; two cinches a bid, and maybe gets Virginia to the 7 seed line.

A loss on Thursday isn’t catastrophic, but …

NCAA Tournament Resume: Virginia

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Quad 1: 3-6
Quad 2: 2-3
Quad 3-4: 14-1

Topline

• NET: 36
• ELO: 64
• RPI: 65

Result-based

• HHS: 38
• WAB: 46
• KPI: 54

Predictive

• Moore: 38
• Torvik: 39
• Massey: 45

Average: 47.2
NCAA Tournament seed projection: borderline of Last Four Byes/Last Four In