Home Madness: Updated look at NCAA Tournament resumes for Virginia, Virginia Tech
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Madness: Updated look at NCAA Tournament resumes for Virginia, Virginia Tech

Chris Graham
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Virginia wrapped a 2-0 week with a 72-59 win over Syracuse on Saturday, while Virginia Tech lost its second straight, 82-73, at NC State.

The ‘Hoos are an NCAA Tournament lock, just playing, at this point, for seeding.

The Hokies are trending down from an already-precarious perch.

Resume: Virginia


Quad 1: 4-2
Quad 2: 
6-1
Quad 3-4: 
10-0

Key

Quad 1: Home (1-30), Neutral (1-50), Away (1-75)
Quad 2: Home (31-75), Neutral (51-100), Away (76-135)

Metrics


Topline

  • NET: 16
  • ELO: 17
  • RPI: 26

Result-based

  • KPI: 14
  • SOR: 15
  • WAB: 18

Predictive

  • BartTorvik: 14
  • KenPom: 16
  • BPI: 23

Average: 17.7
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 4/5 seed line

Key remaining games


  • Quad 2: @Florida State (11-12, 4-6 ACC, NET: 95), Feb. 10
  • Quad 1: (neutral court) Ohio State (15-8, 7-6 Big Ten, NET: 37), Feb. 14
  • Quad 2: Miami (18-5, 7-3 ACC, NET: 38), Feb. 21
  • Quad 1: NC State (18-6, 9-2 ACC, NET: 27), Feb. 24
  • Quad 1: @Duke (21-2, 10-1 ACC, NET: 3), Feb. 28
  • Quad 2: Wake Forest (11-12, 2-8 ACC, NET: 67), March 3
  • Quad 2: Virginia Tech (16-8, 5-6 ACC, NET: 55), March 7

Resume: Virginia Tech


Quad 1: 2-7
Quad 2: 
5-1
Quad 3-4: 
9-0

Key

Quad 1: Home (1-30), Neutral (1-50), Away (1-75)
Quad 2: Home (31-75), Neutral (51-100), Away (76-135)

Metrics


Topline

  • RPI: 46
  • NET: 55
  • ELO: 59

Result-based

  • KPI: 35
  • WAB: 50
  • SOR: 54

Predictive

  • KenPom: 60
  • BartTorvik: 63
  • BPI: 70

Average: 54.7
NCAA Tournament seed projection: borderline Second Four Out

Key remaining games


  • Quad 1: @Clemson (20-4, 10-1 ACC, NET: 30), Feb. 11
  • Quad 1: @Miami (18-5, 7-3 ACC, NET: 38), Feb. 17
  • Quad 2: Wake Forest (11-12, 2-8 ACC, NET: 67), Feb. 21
  • Quad 1: @North Carolina (19-4, 7-3 ACC, NET: 24), Feb. 28
  • Quad 1: @Virginia (20-3, 9-2 ACC, NET: 16), March 7

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Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to Substack or his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected].