ACC Basketball: Update on NCAA Tournament resumes for top contenders

I’ve got six ACC teams as NCAA Tournament locks, two others who are practically locks, and then a couple that have fallen off the bubble.

Checking my work against that of the bracketology experts:

• Lunardi: Duke (1), Virginia (5) Louisville (5), North Carolina (6), Clemson (7), NC State (8), Miami (9), SMU (10), Virginia Tech (Next Four Out)
• CBS Sports: Duke (1), Virginia (4), Louisville (5), North Carolina (6), Clemson (7), Miami (8), NC State (8), SMU (9), Cal (First Four Out)
• On3: Duke (1), Virginia (4), Louisville (5), North Carolina (6), NC State (7), Clemson (8), SMU (9), Miami (9)
• AFP: Duke (1), Virginia (4), Louisville (5), North Carolina (6), NC State (8), Clemson (8), SMU (9), Miami (10)

Locks (6)

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Duke (24-2, 13-1 ACC)

Quad 1: 10-2
Quad 2: 6-0
Quad 3-4: 8-0

Average computer ranking: 2.2
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 1 seed

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Virginia (23-3, 11-2 ACC)

Quad 1: 5-2
Quad 2: 7-1
Quad 3-4: 11-0

Average computer ranking: 17.0
NCAA Tournament seed projection:  4 seed

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Louisville (19-7, 8-5 ACC)

Quad 1: 6-7
Quad 2: 4-0
Quad 3-4: 9-0

Average computer ranking: 18.8
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 5 seed

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North Carolina (20-6, 8-5 ACC)

Quad 1: 5-6
Quad 2: 2-0
Quad 3-4: 13-0

Average computer ranking: 25.9
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 6 seed

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NC State (19-8, 10-4 ACC)

Quad 1: 4-5
Quad 2: 8-2
Quad 3-4: 7-1 (Quad 3 loss: Georgia Tech)

Average computer ranking: 29.0
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 8 seed

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Clemson (20-7, 10-4 ACC)

Quad 1: 4-5
Quad 2: 6-2
Quad 3-4: 10-0

Average computer ranking: 32.7
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 8 seed

Should be in (2)

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SMU (18-8, 7-6 ACC)

Quad 1: 4-7
Quad 2: 3-1
Quad 3-4: 11-0

Average computer ranking: 34.4
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 9 seed

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Miami (21-5, 10-3 ACC)

Quad 1: 4-3
Quad 2: 5-1
Quad 3-4: 12-1 (Quad 3 loss: Florida State)

Average computer ranking: 37.4
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 10 seed

Uphill battles (2)

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Virginia Tech (17-10, 6-8 ACC)

Quad 1: 3-8
Quad 2: 4-1
Quad 3-4: 10-1 (Quad 3 loss: Stanford)

Average computer ranking: 55.6

Cal (17-8, 6-7 ACC)

Quad 1: 4-5
Quad 2: 0-3
Quad 3-4: 13-0

Average computer ranking: 59.9