Home UVA Football: The computers don’t like the ‘Hoos heading into Elliott’s Year 3
Football

UVA Football: The computers don’t like the ‘Hoos heading into Elliott’s Year 3

Chris Graham
tony elliott uva football
Photo: UVA Athletics

I’ve been talking, writing, texting, everything but hiring a plane to carry a banner, about how I think Virginia is going to get, at least, to bowl eligibility this fall.

Not only do I not have any of the UVA media agreeing with me, the computers have started weighing in, and their algorithms aren’t being kind, either to me or, more to the point, to Tony Elliott.

I’ll start with the ESPN Football Power Index, which ranks the ‘Hoos at #72 among the 134 teams in FBS, right there in that meaty part of the curve, not showing off, not falling behind.

Ahem.

FPI projects a 4.6-7.4 record for UVA this fall.

Next, to SP+, which has Virginia at #78, with the offense and special teams ranked 71st, and the defense ranked 79th.

SP+ doesn’t give a projected record.

I’ll say here, though, if the special teams ends up in the 70s this season, that would be a major victory, considering the 100+ finishes in each of Elliott’s first two years at UVA.

Other renderings:

  • CBS has Virginia at #86. No projected record.
  • ELO has us down at #108, with a projected 2-10 finish. (Yikes.)
  • Stewart Mandel at The Athletic isn’t a computer, but he’s forecasting a 4-8 finish, with a 2-6 mark in the ACC.

I’m standing by what I’ve been shouting from the mountaintops since the spring, until the fourth quarter of the opener with Richmond, anyway.

UVA Football


uva-football
Photo: UVA Athletics

 

Featured Video

Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected]. Support AFP by signing up for our newsletter and/or powering our work with a one-time or monthly contribution.

Latest News

mike norvell florida state
Football

ACC Football: FSU, after feasting on Virginia, blown out at Louisville, 44-20

syracuse football fran brown
Football, Go 'Hoos

UVA Football: Syracuse forced to start third-stringer at QB on Saturday night

Syracuse will start third-string QB Malachi Nelson on Saturday night at Virginia, with Week 1 starter Steve Angeli listed as “out” on the availability report posted on Friday night, and last week’s starter, Amari Odom, listed as “doubtful.”

soccer Somalia
Go 'Hoos

Men’s Soccer: Virginia scores early, makes it stand for 1-0 win over Cal

Virginia captain Marco Dos Santos scored in the ninth minute, and the ‘Hoos made it stand up for a 1-0 victory over Cal on Friday night at Klöckner Stadium.

swimming
Go 'Hoos

UVA Swimming: ‘Hoos clinch College Swimming League championship berth

uva field hockey
Go 'Hoos

Field Hockey: #15 Virginia falls on the road at unranked Boston College, 4-1

uva basketball floor
Basketball, Go 'Hoos

UVA Basketball: ‘Hoos roll past Richmond, 96-53, in exhibition contest

mark warner
Politics, Virginia

Mark Warner on planned public execution: ‘Hallmark of authoritarian regimes’