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Preview: What UVA Basketball fans need to know about Georgia Tech

Georgia TechThis is probably the end of the run at Georgia Tech for Damon Stoudamire, who was a reach as a hire in the first place – he had one winning season in five years at Pacific before Tech hired him in 2023.

His three seasons in Atlanta have gone:

  • 2023-2024: 14-18, 7-13 ACC
  • 2024-2025: 17-17, 10-10 ACC
  • 2025-2026: 11-15, 2-11 ACC

The Yellow Jackets actually have a Quad 1 win (at NC State), and they played Duke tight in an 85-79 loss in Durham on Dec. 31.

They also have four Quad 3 losses, all by double-digits

The rotation


Three guys average in double-digits, led by 6’7” senior Kowacie Reeves (15.2 ppg, 45.8% FG, 38.0% 3FG).

I remember 6’9” junior Baye Ndongo (12.5 ppg, 8.3 rebounds/g, 56.8% FG, 41.7% 3FG) from last year; he averaged 15.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per as the Jackets and ‘Hoos split a pair during the Ron Sanchez Death Watch.

The other member of the Not Lethal Weapon 3: 6’4” senior Lamar Washington (10.2 ppg, 5.3 assists/g, 5.1 rebounds/g, 38.6% FG, 30.2% 3FG).

Contributors

  • 6’4” freshman Akai Fleming: 9.9 ppg, 36.8% FG, 32.8% 3FG
  • 6’10” freshman Mouhamed Sylla: 9.6 ppg, 7.2 rebounds/g, 57.9% FG, 25.0% 3FG
  • 6’6” sophomore Jaeden Mustaf: 9.0 ppg, 4.1 rebounds/g, 2.3 assists/g, 42.5% FG, 43.9% 3FG
  • 6’6” junior Kam Craft: 7.6 ppg, 40.1% FG, 38.7% 3FG
  • 6’5” senior Chas Kelly: 4.6 ppg, 44.9% FG, 44.6% 3FG

Analytics: Georgia Tech offense vs. UVA defense


Data: KenPom; rankings: among 365 D1 teams

Points per possession

Georgia Tech: 1.074 PPP (197)
Virginia:
 0.956 PPP (17)

Twos

Georgia Tech: 48.4% (293)
Virginia:
 45.2% (11)

Threes

Georgia Tech: 36.7% (42)
Virginia:
 29.8% (18)

Rebounds

Offensive- Georgia Tech: 30.4% (189)
Defensive-Virginia:
 71.5% (86)

Turnover rate

Georgia Tech: 18.3% (272)
Virginia:
 16.0% (239)

Analytics: UVA offense vs. Georgia Tech defense


Data: KenPom; rankings: among 365 D1 teams

Points per possession

Virginia: 1.210 PPP (35)
Georgia Tech: 1.072 PPP (140)

Twos

Virginia: 55.5% (58)
Georgia Tech: 49.0% (74)

Threes

Virginia: 35.4% (92)
Georgia Tech: 33.0% (128)

Rebounds

Offensive-Virginia: 39.7% (3)
Defensive- Georgia Tech: 70.1% (146)

Turnover rate

Virginia: 15.9% (113)
Georgia Tech: 15.4% (279)

Analysis


  • Georgia Tech will live and die by the three, against a Virginia defense that is Top 20 nationally in defending the three.
  • Virginia should be able to control the boards on both ends.
  • Key: attacking the paint against an interior defense that ranks fairly well there.
  • Turnovers shouldn’t be an issue for the ‘Hoos.

Game Details


Virginia (22-3, 10-2 ACC, NET: 19) at Georgia Tech (11-15, 2-11 ACC, NET: 165)
Day/Time: Wednesday, 9 p.m. ET
TV: ACCN (Doug Sherman & Scott Williams)

Forecast


KenPom: Virginia 80-66
BartTorvik: Virginia 79-66
ESPN BPI: Virginia +11.9

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Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected].