SuperBettingSites conducted a study to examine the odds for the winner based on the recent indictment scandal of Trump.
The odds show Biden’s likelihood of winning have increased over the last year.
- April 2023: +183 (35.3 percent implied probability)
- January 2023: +258 (27.9 percent implied probability)
- November 2022: +516 (16.2 percent implied probability)
- April 2022: +450 (18.2 percent implied probability)
The odds show Trump as the second most likely candidate, with an improvement from January to April this year.
- April 2023: +250 (28.6 percent implied probability)
- January 2023: +875 ( 10.3 percent implied probability)
- November 2022: +241 (29.3 percent implied probability)
- April 2022: +250 (28.6 percent implied probability)
Another potential Republican candidate Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida seems to be coming down from a surge earlier this year.
- April 2023: +350 (22.2 percent implied probability)
- January 2023: +167 (37.5 percent implied probability)
- November 2022: +319 (23.9 percent implied probability)
- April 2022: +580 (14.7 percent implied probability)
In January, DeSantis was the clear frontrunner.
Share
Crystal Graham
