It’s going to be … close. Virginia (19-10) had two chances to punch its ticket to the 2026 NCAA Tournament last week, but lost at home to North Carolina and Virginia Tech, the latter in criminal fashion – one of the worst endgame calls you will ever see.
Good news: the ‘Hoos have a chance in the 8-9 game at the ACC Tournament on Thursday to get another quality win over a Clemson team (20-10, 11-7 ACC, NET: 44) that itself is on the NCAA bubble.
Win that one, and UVA gets a shot at top seed Duke (21-8, 16-2, NET: 10) on Friday.
I think one win clinches a bid; two cinches a bid, and maybe gets Virginia to the 7 seed line.
A loss on Thursday isn’t catastrophic, but …
NCAA Tournament Resume: Virginia
Quad 1: 3-6
Quad 2: 2-3
Quad 3-4: 14-1
Topline
- NET: 36
- ELO: 64
- RPI: 65
Result-based
- HHS: 38
- WAB: 46
- KPI: 54
Predictive
- Moore: 38
- Torvik: 39
- Massey: 45
Average: 47.2
NCAA Tournament seed projection: borderline of Last Four Byes/Last Four In
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Chris Graham
