UVA Basketball: Updated look at Virginia’s NCAA Tournament resume

Since our last update, the UVA Basketball team blew a 16-point lead in a home loss to North Carolina, then rallied from 19 down to win in two OTs at Notre Dame.

No sins committed either way there.

Carolina is a sure-bet NCAA Tournament team; Notre Dame won’t be, but that’s still a Quad 2 road win.

Resume

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Quad 1: 4-2
Quad 2: 4-1
Quad 3-4: 9-0

Key

Quad 1: Home (1-30), Neutral (1-50), Away (1-75)
Quad 2: Home (31-75), Neutral (51-100), Away (76-135)

Metrics

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• KPI: 13
• BartTorvik:15
• SOR: 16
• NET: 16
• KenPom: 16
• ELO: 18
• RPI: 23
• BPI: 23

Average: 17.5
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 4/5 seed line

Key remaining games

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• Quad 2: @Florida State (9-12, 2-6 ACC, NET: 107), Feb. 10
• Quad 1: (neutral court) Ohio State (14-6, 6-4 Big Ten, NET: 37), Feb. 14
• Quad 2/1: Miami (17-4, 6-2 ACC, NET: 36), Feb. 21
• Quad 1/2: NC State (15-6, 6-2 ACC, NET: 27), Feb. 24
• Quad 1: @Duke (19-1, 8-0 ACC, NET: 4), Feb. 28
• Quad 2: Wake Forest (11-10, 2-6 ACC, NET: 67), March 3
• Quad 2: Virginia Tech (16-6, 5-4 ACC, NET: 54), March 7

Previous games to watch for Quad 1/2 movement

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• Butler (80-73 L, Nov. 23): currently 57 in NET (Quad 2 loss now; becomes Quad 1 loss if Butler moves into Top 50)
• Stanford (70-55 W, Jan. 10): currently 77 in NET (Quad 3 win now; becomes Quad 2 if Stanford moves into Top 75)
• Notre Dame (100-97 W, Jan. 27): currently 82 in NET (Quad 2 win now; becomes Quad 1 if Notre Dame moves into Top 75)

Video: NCAA resume update

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