Home UVA Basketball: Early look at NCAA Tournament resume, seeding possibilities
Basketball

UVA Basketball: Early look at NCAA Tournament resume, seeding possibilities

Chris Graham
thijs de ridder uva basketball
Thijs de Ridder. Photo: Mike Ingalls/AFP

Starting with the popularity contest part of this, two wins on the road, one over a ranked team, the other also a Quad 1 win, were only enough to bump the UVA Basketball team up two spots in this week’s AP Top 25.

Virginia (16-2, 5-1 ACC) is 14th in this week’s poll.

It’s all just for entertainment purposes only, so, whatevs.


UVA Basketball: Last week


The ‘Hoos won at Louisville (13-5, 3-3 ACC) on Wednesday; Louisville is ranked 23rd this week, down three spots.

The other win was at SMU (13-5, 2-3 ACC), which is 33rd in the NET as of the start of the business day on Monday.

Not impressive enough, apparently.

Resume: Inside the numbers


The wins at the ‘Ville and at SMU have Virginia at 4-1 in Quad 1 games this season.

For context, last season’s team was 2-9 in Quad 1s; the 2023-2024 team, which got an at-large NCAA bid, was 2-8 in Quad 1s.

The 2022-2023 team that won a share of the ACC regular-season title was 5-5 in Quad 1s.

Upcoming Quad 1 opportunities on the schedule include:

  • North Carolina (NET: 29), Jan. 24
  • Ohio State (NET: 37), Feb. 14 (neutral: Nashville)
  • at Duke (NET: 2), Feb. 28

The home games with Miami (Feb. 21) and NC State (Feb. 24) could end up being Quad 1s.

Miami is currently at 31 in the NET; State is at 34.

Home games against teams ranked in the Top 30 of the NET are considered Quad 1.

Quad 1 key – neutral: NET 1-50; road: NET 1-75.

Virginia is 4-1 right now in Quad 2 games.

A lot of those still on the schedule:

  • at Notre Dame (NET: 78), Jan. 27
  • Syracuse (NET: 75), Feb. 7
  • at Florida State (NET: 134), Feb. 10
  • Wake Forest (NET: 57), March 3
  • Virginia Tech (NET: 58), March 7

Quad 2 key – home: 31-75; neutral: 51-100; road: 76-135.

NCAA Tournament metrics


ncaa tournament
Photo: © Brocreative/stock.adobe.com
  • BartTorvik: 8
  • KPI: 11
  • ELO: 13
  • SOR: 13
  • NET: 14
  • RPI: 14
  • KenPom: 14
  • BPI: 22

Average: 13.6

NCAA Tournament seed projection: 3/4 seed line

 
 




Featured Video

 

Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected]. Support AFP by signing up for our newsletter and/or powering our work with a one-time or monthly contribution.