Home UVA Basketball: ‘Hoos roll into ACC Tournament championship game
Basketball, Go 'Hoos

UVA Basketball: ‘Hoos roll into ACC Tournament championship game

Chris Graham

Game Details

  • Miami (25-7, 14-5 ACC, NET: 32) vs. Virginia (28-4, 16-3 ACC, NET: 13)
  • Day/Time: Friday, 7 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

Forecast

  • KenPom: Virginia 75-72
  • BartTorvik: Virginia 74-71

Miami rotation


  • 6’9” senior Malik Reneau: 19.0 ppg, 6.6 rebounds/g, 55.9% FG, 36.5% 3FG, 5.7 FTAs/g
  • 6’3” senior Tre Donaldson: 16.8 ppg, 5.9 assists/g, 46.2% FG, 35.4% 3FG,
  • 6’6” freshman Shelton Henderson: 13.9 ppg, 4.8 rebounds/g, 56.8% FG, 27.7% 3FG
  • 6’4” junior Tru Washington: 11.9 ppg, 4.1 rebounds/g, 45.7% FG, 36.4% 3FG
  • 6’11” senior Erndest Udeh Jr.: 7.1 ppg, 9.4 rebounds/g, 74.8% FG
  • 6’4” freshman Dante Allen: 6.3 ppg, 41.7% FG, 29.9% 3FG
  • 6’8” freshman Timo Malovec: 4.7 ppg, 35.0% FG, 33.3% 3FG

Virginia rotation


  • 6’9” freshman Thijs de Ridder: 15.9 ppg, 6.3 rebounds/g, 51.3% FG, 34.1% 3FG
  • 6’5” senior Malik Thomas: 12.1 ppg, 4.1 rebounds/g, 40.6% FG, 33.9% 3FG
  • 6’6” junior Sam Lewis: 10.4 ppg, 3.6 rebounds/g, 45.0% FG, 36.9% 3FG
  • 5’10” freshman Chance Mallory: 9.6 ppg, 3.8 rebounds/g, 3.5 assists/g, 43.3% FG, 34.3% 3FG
  • 6’3” senior Jacari White: 8.9 ppg, 45.0% FG, 43.4% 3FG
  • 7’0” freshman Johann Grunloh: 7.7 ppg, 5.5 rebounds/g, 2.4 blocks/g, 52.9% FG, 35.0% 3FG
  • 7’0” senior Ugonna Onyenso: 6.4 ppg, 4.9 rebounds/g, 2.6 blocks/g, 54.9% FG, 28.1% 3FG
  • 6’4” senior Dallin Hall: 5.9 ppg, 4.3 assists/g, 42.1% FG, 34.1% 3FG
  • 6’7” senior Devin Tillis: 4.8 ppg, 40.8% FG, 38.3% 3FG

Analytics: Miami vs. UVA


Data: KenPom; rankings: among 365 D1 teams

Points per possession

Virginia offense: 1.216 PPP (33)
Miami defense: 1.001 PPP (34)

Miami offense: 1.218 PPP (32)
Virginia defense:
 0.962 PPP (16)

Rebounds

Offensive-Virginia: 37.9% (10)
Defensive-Miami: 74.1% (20)

Offensive-Miami: 37.3% (15)
Defensive-Virginia:
 71.3% (97)

Turnover rate

Virginia offense: 15.9% (128)
Miami defense: 18.4% (82)

Miami offense: 16.3% (157)
Virginia defense:
 15.8% (241)

Shooting zones-Virginia offense vs. NC State defense


Per game FGs/FGAs; Data: CBB Analytics

Virginia in the paint: 16.5/29.2, 56.4%
Virginia threes: 10.2/28.3, 35.8%
Virginia FTs: 20.4 FTA/g, 71.9%

Miami D in the paint: 14.2/26.6, 54.4%
Miami D on threes: 9.2/26.4, 35.0%
Miami opponent FTs: 16.8 FTA/g

Shooting zones-Miami offense vs. Virginia defense


Per game FGs/FGAs; Data: CBB Analytics

Miami in the paint: 21.8/33.1, 60.1%
Miami threes: 8.3/23.4, 35.2%
Miami FTs: 22.7 FTA/g, 68.0%

Virginia D in the paint: 13.5/28.7, 47.1%
Virginia D on threes: 6.9/22.2, 31.1%
Virginia opponent FTs: 19.7 FTA/g

Game coverage


Pregame note: Johann Grunloh

Johann Grunloh, who had been listed as a “game-time decision” in the availability report, is in the starting lineup tonight.


Media timeout: Game tied at 4-4, 14:52/1st

Defenses dominating at the outset: Virginia is 2-of-9 with two turnovers, Miami is 2-of-7 with three turnovers.

Virginia has missed a couple of open shots; Miami really isn’t getting open looks.


Media timeout: Virginia 10-8, 11:11/1st

  • Virginia: 5-of-16 FG, 0-of-6 3FG, two TOs
  • Miami: 3-of-12 FG, 0-of-4 3FG, 2-of-2 FT, four TOs

Ugonna Onyenso: four points (2-of-2 FG), one rebound, two blocked shots


Media timeout: Game tied at 15-15, 7:22/1st

Defenses still dominating.

  • Virginia: 6-of-19 FG, 0-of-7 3FG, 3-of-3 FT, five TOs
  • Miami: 5-of-18 FG, 1-of-8 FG, 4-of-4 FTs, four TOs

Miami has gone to the 2-3 zone that they used in the February game in Charlottesville, and worked at first, before it didn’t.


Media timeout: Virginia 21-17, 3:54/1st

Remember, these teams played to an 86-83 final three weeks ago.

Tony Bennett would love this.

Onyenso: eight points (4-of-4 FG), two rebounds, three blocked shots in 11 minutes off the bench.


Halftime: Virginia 38-23

Virginia outscored Miami 23-6 in the final six minutes, going 8-of-11 from the field (3-of-6 3FG) in that stretch.

Ugonna Onyenso: 10 points (5-of-5 FG), three rebounds, three blocked shots in 15 minutes.

  • Virginia: 14-of-31 FG, 3-of-13 3FG, 7-of-12 at the rim, six turnovers
  • Miami: 9-of-28 FG, 1-of-10 3FG, 4-of-8 at the rim, six turnovers

Second chance points: UVA 14-8

Points in the paint: UVA 22-14

FTs: UVA 7-of-7, Miami 4-of-4


Analysis

Miami averages 21.8 FGs in the paint (60.1 FG%) per game; they were 7-of-13 (53.8%) in the paint in the first half.

UM averages 74.1% rate on defensive rebounds; first half: 52.9%.

UM offensive rebound rate coming in: 37.3%. First half: 26.3%.

Virginia is winning in the trenches.

There will be paint blistering off the walls in the UM locker room.


Media timeout: Virginia 45-28, 15:09/2nd

Good first five minutes for Virginia; actually grew the lead a small bit.

Another stretch like this one, and Miami may lose its will.


Media timeout: Virginia 53-42, 10:07/2nd

Still a game. Miami has made four of its last five shots, and Virginia missed a couple of easy ones.

Virginia will want to keep this in the 10- to 14-point range at the under-8; Miami won’t mind keeping it where it is, with a goal of getting it to six to eight at the under-8.


Media timeout: Virginia 62-44, 7:49/2nd

The 9-2 run is a layup, three and dunk from Malik Thomas, and an open 15-footer on a break from Sam Lewis.


Miami timeout: Virginia 77-54, 2:59/2nd

Since that one mini-run from Miami, Virginia has outscored the ‘Canes 24-12.


Final: Virginia 84, Miami 62

We’ve got another one tomorrow night.

 

Support AFP

Multimedia

 

Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to Substack or his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected].