ACC Basketball: I still have eight in the NCAAs, but some movement among them

Duke, the current frontrunner in the ACC, is the new #1 team in the nation, after a win over then-#1 Michigan on Saturday in DC.

Virginia is #11 in the AP Top 25 this week, on the strength of what is now an eight-game winning streak.

Not to look too far ahead, but the ‘Hoos (24-3, 12-2 ACC) and Dookies (25-2, 13-1 ACC) meet at noon on Saturday in Durham.

Other big games this week:

• NC State (19-8, 10-4 ACC) at Virginia (24-3, 12-2 ACC), 7 p.m. Tuesday
• Miami (21-6, 10-4 ACC) at Florida State (14-13, 7-7 ACC), 9 p.m. Tuesday
• SMU (19-8, 8-6 ACC) at Cal (19-8, 7-7 ACC), 10 p.m. Tuesday
• Louisville (20-7, 9-5 ACC) at Clemson (20-8, 10-5 ACC), 2 p.m. Saturday
• Virginia Tech (18-10, 7-8 ACC) at North Carolina (21-6, 9-5 ACC), 8:30 p.m. Saturday

Bracketology update

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Duke, with the win over Michigan, remains on the #1 NCAA seed line.

The big mover, in a bad way: Clemson.

The Tigers have lost four in a row.

I had them as a 6 seed three weeks ago; now they’re a 10, with Louisville at home on Saturday, and a game at North Carolina next week.

They could be playing their way completely out of the field.

Locks (5)

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Duke (25-2, 13-1 ACC)

Quad 1: 12-2
Quad 2: 4-0
Quad 3-4: 9-0

Average computer ranking: 2.1
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 1 seed

Virginia (24-3, 12-2 ACC)

Quad 1: 6-2
Quad 2: 6-1
Quad 3-4: 12-0

Average computer ranking: 16.0
NCAA Tournament seed projection:  4 seed

Louisville (20-7, 9-5 ACC)

Quad 1: 6-7
Quad 2: 4-0
Quad 3-4: 10-0

Average computer ranking: 19.1
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 5 seed

North Carolina (21-6, 9-5 ACC)

Quad 1: 5-6
Quad 2: 3-0
Quad 3-4: 13-0

Average computer ranking: 24.1
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 6 seed

NC State (19-8, 10-4 ACC)

Quad 1: 5-5
Quad 2: 6-2
Quad 3-4: 8-1 (Quad 3 loss: Georgia Tech)

Average computer ranking: 28.4
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 7 seed

Should be in (3)

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SMU (19-8, 8-6 ACC)

Quad 1: 4-6
Quad 2: 4-2
Quad 3-4: 11-0

Average computer ranking: 34.4
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 9 seed

Clemson (20-8, 10-5 ACC)

Quad 1: 3-5
Quad 2: 7-3
Quad 3-4: 10-0

Average computer ranking: 38.2
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 10 seed

Miami (21-6, 10-4 ACC)

Quad 1: 3-4
Quad 2: 6-2
Quad 3-4: 12-0

Average computer ranking: 38.3
NCAA Tournament seed projection: 10 seed

Uphill battles (2)

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Virginia Tech (18-10, 7-8 ACC)

Quad 1: 2-8
Quad 2: 6-2
Quad 3-4: 10-0

Average computer ranking: 52.1

Cal (18-8, 7-7 ACC)

Quad 1: 4-5
Quad 2: 1-3
Quad 3-4: 13-0

Average computer ranking: 57.9

Checking my work

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• AFP (ACC: 8 bids): Duke (1), Virginia (4), Louisville (5), North Carolina (6), NC State (7), SMU (9), Clemson (10), Miami (10)
• CBS Sports (ACC: 9 bids): Duke (1), Virginia (4), Louisville (6), North Carolina (6), NC State (8), SMU (8), Miami (9), Clemson (10), Cal (11-First Four)
• On3 (ACC: 8 bids): Duke (1), Virginia (4), Louisville (6), North Carolina (6), NC State (8), SMU (8), Miami (9), Clemson (10)
• Lunardi: Latest update from him is Friday at 8:45 a.m. ET. There have been a couple of games played since. What is he even doing?