Game Details
NC State (19-8, 10-4 ACC, NET: 26) at Virginia (24-3, 12-2 ACC, NET: 15)
Day/Time: Tuesday, 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2 (Wes Durham & Dennis Scott)
NC State rotation
- Darrion Williams (6’6” senior: 14.2 ppg, 5.0 rebounds/g, 2.9 assists/g, 42.2% FG, 40.4% 3FG) had a quiet day in the first game – seven points, 3-of-8 FG in 31 minutes.
- Qadir Copeland (6’6” senior: 14.0 ppg, 6.8 assists/g, 50.8% FG, 42.3% 3FG, 5.3 FTAs/g) had 15 points and four assists in 34 minutes in the January matchup.
- Ven-Allen Lubin (6’9” senior: 13.6 ppg, 7.0 rebounds/g, 68.9% FG) had seven points and five boards in 29 minutes in the loss in Raleigh.
- Paul McNeil (6’5” sophomore: 13.4 ppg, 43.9% FG, 43.7% 3FG) had 13 points (3-of-7 FG, 2-of-6 3FG, 5-of-8 FT) in 30 minutes.
- Alyn Breed (6’3” senior: 4.6 ppg, 41.5% FG, 35.7% 3FG), who had 12 points in 24 minutes in the first game, has since fallen out of the rotation – with 13 minutes of floor time in his last nine, and seven DNP-coach’s decisions.
Key contributors:
- 6’2” senior Tre Holloman: 9.7 ppg, 42.7% FG, 39.8% 3FG
- 6’6” freshman Matt Able: 8.9 ppg, 43.0% FG, 37.7% 3FG
- 6’6” junior Terrance Arceneaux: 4.0 ppg, 44.6% FG, 37.1% 3FG
Analytics: NC State offense vs. UVA defense
Data: KenPom and CBB Analytics; rankings: among 365 D1 teams
Points per possession
NC State offense: 1.236 PPP (20)
Virginia defense: 0.969 PPP (17)
Virginia offense: 1.228 PPP (27)
NC State defense: 1.011 PPP (39)
Threes
NC State offense: 285/720, 39.6% (3FGA/g: 57; 3FG%: 5)
Virginia defense: 173/574, 30.1% (3FGA/g: 100; 3FG%: 19)
Virginia offense: 275/764, 36.0% (3FGA/g: 33; 3FG%: 63)
NC State defense: 240/710, 33.8% (3FGA/g: 327; 3FG%: 168)
At the Rim
NC State offense: 299/410, 72.9% (FGA/g: 318; FG%: 3)
Virginia defense: 245/433, 56.6% (FGA/g: 73; FG%: 26)
Virginia offense: 346/548, 63.1% (FGA/g: 91; FG%: 149)
NC State defense: 273/411, 66.4% (FGA/g: 39; FG%: 308)
Paint 2s
NC State offense: 159/381, 41.7% (FGA/g: 30; FG%: 189)
Virginia defense: 131/349, 37.5% (FGA/g: 314; FG%: 54)
Virginia offense: 112/257, 43.6% (FGA/g: 244; FG%: 126)
NC State defense: 118/314, 40.2% (FGA/g: 252: FG%: 56)
Midrange 2s
NC State offense: 44/133, 33.1% (FGA/g: 249; FG%: 286)
Virginia defense: 82/231, 35.5% (FGA/g: 349; FG%: 150)
Virginia offense: 37/86, 43.0% (FGA/g: 329; FG%: 31)
NC State defense: 48/130, 36.9% (FGA/g: 51; FG%: 201)
Free throws
NC State defense: 21.0 FTAs/g (167); 76.2% (54)
Virginia defense: 20.2 FTAs/g (162)
Virginia offense: 21.0 FTAs/g (167); 70.5% (245)
NC State defense: 21.4 FTAs/g (226)
Rebounds
Offensive-NC State: 27.9% (273)
Defensive-Virginia: 71.4% (87)
Offensive-Virginia: 39.4% (4)
Defensive- NC State: 70.5% (125)
Turnover rate
NC State offense: 13.3% (10)
Virginia defense: 16.1% (227)
Virginia offense: 15.9% (120)
NC State defense: 18.9% (69)
Analysis
UVA and State get similar percentages of their points from threes; State gets more of its points in the paint outside of the circle on floaters and short jumpers, which isn’t as efficient.
State also shoots more midrange twos, which are also less efficient.
Virginia is the better rebounding team on both ends.
Slight advantage to Virginia on defense.
Forecast
KenPom: Virginia 79-73
BartTorvik: Virginia 78-71
ESPN BPI: Virginia +4.3
Game coverage
Pregame update: Availability
Devin Tillis is not listed on the pregame availability report, so, he is in the rotation tonight.
NC State timeout: UVA 8-3, 16:09/1st
Qadir Copeland and Will Wade just got into it after that turnover that led to a Thijs de Ridder runout.
Not sure what the eff happened there.
Didn’t look good.
Media timeout: Virginia 15-5, 11:47/1st
State isn’t going to keep missing everything: right now, they’re 2-of-16, 1-of-8 from three.
They’re getting good looks.
So is UVA, and their shots aren’t falling like they should: 4-of-11 FG, 2-of-6 3FG.
Virginia timeout: Virginia 18-15, 6:19/1st
Virginia went for a long, long stretch without a bucket, before the fast break three by Jacari White, off a feed from de Ridder.
I’ll credit State defensively: they’re fronting the post, taking away advantages there, and Virginia needs to figure out the counter.
It’s not dribbling into traffic.
Media timeout: Virginia 26-18, 3:28/1st
Virginia is 5-of-10 from three, and 3-of-12 from two – 3-of-10 at the rim.
The seven turnovers also not helping.
Nor is State getting seven offensive rebounds, though they haven’t converted any of those.
Half: Virginia 32, NC State 19
That was a slog, because both teams played elite defense.
Virginia just played more of it.
State: 6-of-33 FG, 2-of-15 3FG, 4-of-11 at the rim, 0-of-3 on paint 2Js, 0-of-4 in midrange.
UVA: 10-of-28 FG, 5-of-12 3FG, 4-of-12 at the rim, 1-of-3 on paint 2Js, o-of-1 in midrange, eight turnovers.
Johann Grunloh: five blocked shots
Ugonna Onyenso: three blocked shots
Media timeout: Virginia 41-28, 17:35/2nd
Trying to sort out what happened.
An NC State reserve was tossed.
You hire a POS coach, he recruits POS players, and they do POS things.
Media timeout: Virginia 49-33, 15:17/2nd
I have never wanted to see a team pantsed in front of the world more than tonight.
NC State as a university should be embarrassed that it hired that guy.
Game analysis: State is 4-of-6 from three this half.
Need to nip that in the bud.
Good news: they’re 4-of-6 from three, and they’ve lost ground.
Media timeout: Virginia 55-43, 11:49/2nd
This is where State needs to make a run, if they’re going to make one.
Neither side is getting many stops.
State is 8-of-12 FG, 4-of-7 3FG, 4-of-4 FT in the second half.
UVA is 7-of-10 FG, 2-of-4 3FG, 7-of-9 FT in the second half.
NC State timeout: Virginia 66-48, 8:39/2nd
Not counting anything, the way State is shooting threes in the second half – 5-of-9 3FG.
Media timeout: Virginia 68-52, 7:38/2nd
OK, here we go again: if State has a run in ’em, they need it here.
State has five offensive rebounds and six second-chance points in the second half.
Need to clean that up.
Virginia timeout: Virginia 78-55, 4:57/2nd
That was a fatigue timeout.
Grunloh has eight blocked shots.
De Ridder has 19 points (7-of-10 FG, 1-of-2 3FG, 4-of-4 FT).
Media timeout: Virginia 82-58, 3:00/2nd
The handshake line should be interesting. Stay tuned for that alone.
Final: Virginia 90, NC State 61
I have never been more pleased to see a team and its NCAA jail coach utterly and thoroughly embarrassed.
Seriously, Boo Corrigan, shame on you.
Will Wade left his starters on the floor when Ryan Odom went to his garbage time unit, like the scum human being that he is.
Everything about that athletics program down there is pathetic.
OK.
Virginia shot 70 percent in the second half, with helpful motivation from a dumb fight perpetrated by one of NC State’s bench mob, to roll to a 90-61 win over NC State.
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Chris Graham
