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Metrics: Fourth straight true road W only gives Virginia a nudge with the computers

Chris Graham
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OK, folks, so, yeah, it’s official – the computers that the NCAA Tournament people use are stupid.

Virginia (19-5, 10-3 ACC) won its fourth straight on the road last night, at Florida State – that was a Quad 1 win in RPI, incidentally – and actually dropped in two of the six computer rankings, and held in a third.

Metric Previous Rank Rank Today Change
SOR  27  22  +5
RPI  29  28  +1
KPI  30  24  +6
NET  32  34 -2
BPI  33  33  0
KenPom  47  48  -1
Average  33  31.5  +1.5

Yeah, this makes sense.

The win gives Virginia a 2-2 record in Quad 1 games and a 7-4 record in Q1 and Q2 games overall.

Compare that to, say, the resume of Duke, which also has four true road wins, a 5-2 record in Q1 games, and an 0-3 record in Q2 – two of those losses being at Arkansas (NET: 130) and at Georgia Tech (NET: 133).

Virginia’s Q2 losses: at Memphis (NET: 77), at NC State (NET: 80).

NET has Duke at 20, and Duke’s average rating across the six is 20.8.

Bad news for Virginia fans here: even going 2-0 this week won’t be a help in the computers, with both games being at home, against Pitt (NET: 61) and Wake Forest (NET: 33).

Those are both Quad 2 games for the ‘Hoos.

There are three Quad 1 games still on the regular-season schedule: at Virginia Tech (NET: 54), North Carolina (NET: 10) and at Duke (NET: 20).

Time to channel Tony Bennett here: just keep chasing quality basketball.

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Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to Substack or his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected].