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Preview: What UVA Basketball fans need to know about Georgia Tech

Chris Graham

Georgia TechThis is probably the end of the run at Georgia Tech for Damon Stoudamire, who was a reach as a hire in the first place – he had one winning season in five years at Pacific before Tech hired him in 2023.

His three seasons in Atlanta have gone:

  • 2023-2024: 14-18, 7-13 ACC
  • 2024-2025: 17-17, 10-10 ACC
  • 2025-2026: 11-15, 2-11 ACC

The Yellow Jackets actually have a Quad 1 win (at NC State), and they played Duke tight in an 85-79 loss in Durham on Dec. 31.

They also have four Quad 3 losses, all by double-digits

The rotation


Three guys average in double-digits, led by 6’7” senior Kowacie Reeves (15.2 ppg, 45.8% FG, 38.0% 3FG).

I remember 6’9” junior Baye Ndongo (12.5 ppg, 8.3 rebounds/g, 56.8% FG, 41.7% 3FG) from last year; he averaged 15.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per as the Jackets and ‘Hoos split a pair during the Ron Sanchez Death Watch.

The other member of the Not Lethal Weapon 3: 6’4” senior Lamar Washington (10.2 ppg, 5.3 assists/g, 5.1 rebounds/g, 38.6% FG, 30.2% 3FG).

Contributors

  • 6’4” freshman Akai Fleming: 9.9 ppg, 36.8% FG, 32.8% 3FG
  • 6’10” freshman Mouhamed Sylla: 9.6 ppg, 7.2 rebounds/g, 57.9% FG, 25.0% 3FG
  • 6’6” sophomore Jaeden Mustaf: 9.0 ppg, 4.1 rebounds/g, 2.3 assists/g, 42.5% FG, 43.9% 3FG
  • 6’6” junior Kam Craft: 7.6 ppg, 40.1% FG, 38.7% 3FG
  • 6’5” senior Chas Kelly: 4.6 ppg, 44.9% FG, 44.6% 3FG

Analytics: Georgia Tech offense vs. UVA defense


Data: KenPom; rankings: among 365 D1 teams

Points per possession

Georgia Tech: 1.074 PPP (197)
Virginia:
 0.956 PPP (17)

Twos

Georgia Tech: 48.4% (293)
Virginia:
 45.2% (11)

Threes

Georgia Tech: 36.7% (42)
Virginia:
 29.8% (18)

Rebounds

Offensive- Georgia Tech: 30.4% (189)
Defensive-Virginia:
 71.5% (86)

Turnover rate

Georgia Tech: 18.3% (272)
Virginia:
 16.0% (239)

Analytics: UVA offense vs. Georgia Tech defense


Data: KenPom; rankings: among 365 D1 teams

Points per possession

Virginia: 1.210 PPP (35)
Georgia Tech: 1.072 PPP (140)

Twos

Virginia: 55.5% (58)
Georgia Tech: 49.0% (74)

Threes

Virginia: 35.4% (92)
Georgia Tech: 33.0% (128)

Rebounds

Offensive-Virginia: 39.7% (3)
Defensive- Georgia Tech: 70.1% (146)

Turnover rate

Virginia: 15.9% (113)
Georgia Tech: 15.4% (279)

Analysis


  • Georgia Tech will live and die by the three, against a Virginia defense that is Top 20 nationally in defending the three.
  • Virginia should be able to control the boards on both ends.
  • Key: attacking the paint against an interior defense that ranks fairly well there.
  • Turnovers shouldn’t be an issue for the ‘Hoos.

Game Details


Virginia (22-3, 10-2 ACC, NET: 19) at Georgia Tech (11-15, 2-11 ACC, NET: 165)
Day/Time: Wednesday, 9 p.m. ET
TV: ACCN (Doug Sherman & Scott Williams)

Forecast


KenPom: Virginia 80-66
BartTorvik: Virginia 79-66
ESPN BPI: Virginia +11.9

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Chris Graham

Chris Graham

Chris Graham is the founder and editor of Augusta Free Press. A 1994 alum of the University of Virginia, Chris is the author and co-author of seven books, including Poverty of Imagination, a memoir published in 2019. For his commentaries on news, sports and politics, go to his YouTube page, TikTok, BlueSky, or subscribe to Substack or his Street Knowledge podcast. Email Chris at [email protected].