Suffolk University Nevada poll: Hillary Clinton leading by six points

2016 hillary clinton donald trumpA Suffolk University poll of likely voters in Nevada shows Democrat Hillary Clinton opening up a six-point lead over Republican businessman Donald Trump, 44 percent to 38 percent, in the aftermath of the first presidential debate.

In an August Suffolk University poll of Nevada voters, Clinton led Trump by 2 points, 44 percent to 42 percent.

“Hillary Clinton’s strong debate performance resonated with women in Nevada,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “There was a corresponding increase in Donald Trump’s unfavorable rating, and fewer voters see him as honest and trustworthy.”

Among debate watchers, 57 percent said that Clinton won the debate, while 23 percent said Trump was the winner, and 12 percent called it a draw. When likely voters were asked who performed better than expected, Clinton was the choice of 60 percent to Trump’s 27 percent, while 5 percent said both candidates exceeded their expectations. The poll was taken in the three days immediately following the first general-election debate by the major-party candidates.

Among women, Clinton bested Trump by 15 points, 49 percent to 34 percent. This was higher than the 5-point margin in August, 44 percent to 39 percent.

Likely Nevada voters gave Trump an unfavorable rating of 59 percent, compared to 55 percent in August. And 61 percent said that he wasn’t honest and trustworthy, notably higher than the 52 percent recorded in August.

“There are many positive data points for Hillary Clinton in this poll,” said Paleologos. “The only reasonably good news for Donald Trump is that Clinton’s 44 percent number never moved in the head-to-head matchup. Trump’s number dropped from 42 percent in August to 38 percent today, but he lost many of his voters to Gary Johnson, not Clinton.”

Trailing behind the major-party candidates in the poll were Libertarian nominee Johnson (7 percent), Independent American Party candidate Darrell Castle (1 percent), and Roque “Rocky”De La Fuente of the Reform Party (1 percent). Three percent of voters selected “none of these candidates,” while 5 percent were undecided.

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