If it matters: Hillary leads GOP field in early, early 2016 polling
Slow your roll. It’s early.
Clinton has seven- to ten-point leads on all the possible top GOP contenders. Senators Rand Paul and Marco Rubio are the closest, within seven points, with Ben Carson, Chris Christie and Scott Walker all eight points back, Mike Huckabee nine, and Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz each 10 back.
Clinton polls between 47 and 50 percent against each in hypothetical one-on-ones, and none of the Republicans get above 41 percent, so that’s the good news for Clinton and Democrats.
On the other side of the ledger: if Clinton doesn’t run, or at the least doesn’t get the Democratic nomination, it’s a Republican election to lose. Clinton runs 10 points or better ahead of other Democrats in renderings of 2016.
Stop if you’ve heard this before (cough, 2008), but Clinton does appear to be the clear choice of Democratic primary voters heading into the 2016 cycle, with 54 percent of Democrats preferring her to be the nominee, to 16 percent for Joe Biden, 12 percent for Elizabeth Warren, 5 percent for Bernie Sanders, 2 percent for Jim Webb, and 1 percent for Martin O’Malley.