Posted by afp on February 5, 2009 · Leave a Comment
A new poll has Republican Bob McDonnell leading all three of his potential Democratic Party rivals for governor this week.
McDonnell leads former Northern Virginia state legislator Brian Moran by a 39 percent-to-36 percent margin in a poll released Thursday evening by Rasmussen Reports. The attorney general had trailed Moran in a December Rasmussen poll by four points. Read more
Posted by afp on December 8, 2008 · 15 Comments
And the winner is … Brian Moran. OK, so he’s the leader on his way to the first tee.
Moran is the only one of the three candidates for the ’09 Democratic Party gubernatorial nomination who would beat presumptive Republican nominee Bob McDonnell in a head-to-head matchup, according to a poll released today by Rasmussen Reports. Read more
Posted by afp on November 3, 2008 · 1 Comment
Story by Chris Graham
freepress2@ntelos.net
Gallup and Larry Sabato are calling it a Barack Obama landslide, and a summary of the other major national polls has the Democrat on the verge of making history.
Gallup’s final pre-election estimate has Obama winning 55 percent of the vote to Republican John McCain’s 44 percent. Sabato, the University of Virginia political-science professor known for his Crystal Ball predictions, is giving Obama 364 votes in the all-important Electoral College to McCain’s 174.
Read more
Posted by afp on October 6, 2008 · 40 Comments
Story by Chris Graham
freepress2@ntelos.net
Two new polls have Democrat Barack Obama opening a double-digit lead in Virginia as the campaign enters the final month.
A SurveyUSA poll released this morning has Obama leading Republican John McCain by a 53 percent-to-43 percent margin. A new Suffolk poll released today has Obama ahead of McCain by a 51 percent-to-39 percent gap.
Virginia’s numbers are tracking ahead of the national polls that have Obama holding a solid lead over McCain. Both the Gallup and Rasmussen Reports polls that we track daily at the Augusta Free Press have Obama ahead of McCain by eight-point margins. The support for Obama measured by Rasmussen has not declined by a single point for 25 consecutive days, according to the pollster for Fox News, while the results in the Gallup polling have officials there calling the underlying dynamics of the race “quite stable.”
Virginia has been unstable in favor of Obama in recent weeks, with what had been a two-point McCain lead in Virginia in the SurveyUSA polls following the Republican National Convention turning into today’s 10-point Obama lead. Obama leads among most of the demographic subgroups – getting majorities of those ages 18-64, males and females (actually pulling slightly more support among males, in a reverse of a campaign-long trend), those who have attended college and those who haven’t, regular churchgoers and agnostics and political moderates.
Most surprisingly, the SurveyUSA numbers have Obama even with McCain in the Shenandoah Valley, at 48 percent each. Obama also has a commanding 60 percent-to-36 percent lead in Northern Virginia and an 11-point lead in military vote-rich Hampton Roads.
The tidbits of note from the Suffolk poll had Virginia voters giving Mark Warner a 57 percent-to-25 percent lead over Jim Gilmore in the U.S. Senate race and Joe Biden a 46 percent-to-26 percent win over Sarah Palin in last week’s vice-presidential debate.
Posted by afp on October 1, 2008 · Leave a Comment
Story by Chris Graham
freepress2@ntelos.net
A new CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corp. poll has Barack Obama up by nine points in Virginia over John McCain in the 2008 presidential race.
The poll, released today, has the Democrat leading McCain by a 53 percent-to-44 percent margin. The last CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll in Virginia, taken two weeks ago, had McCain up by four points.
Another poll done in Virginia by Insider Advantage/Poll Position 2008 had the Obama lead at 51 percent to 45 percent for McCain. That poll was released on Tuesday.
A quick scan of the national polls has Obama up 49 percent to 42 percent in a Pew Research Center survey, 51 percent to 45 percent in the Rasmussen Reports daily track and 48 percent to 44 percent in the Gallup daily track.
Posted by afp on September 28, 2008 · Leave a Comment
Item by Chris Graham
freepress2@ntelos.net
Two national tracking polls have Barack Obama opening the biggest lead of the fall campaign and close to the biggest lead of the ’08 campaign cycle over John McCain.
Gallup’s tracking poll has Obama ahead of McCain by a 50 percent-to-42 percent margin. Those numbers are based on interviews conducted on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. The eight-point lead for Obama is his second-biggest lead of the ’08 cycle in the Gallup polling.
Rasmussen Reports, which conducts polling for Fox News, has the Obama lead at 50 percent to 44 percent. The six-point margin in the Rasmussen numbers is Obama’s biggest lead in ’08.
Posted by afp on September 16, 2008 · Leave a Comment
Analysis by Chris Graham
freepress2@ntelos.net
Battleground Virginia continues to tighten – and a new poll has Barack Obama with a four-point lead over John McCain.
A SurveyUSA poll released yesterday had Obama ahead of McCain in Virginia by a 50 percent-to-46 percent margin. A week ago, SurveyUSA had McCain ahead of Obama by a 49 percent-to-47 percent gap.
A Rasmussen Reports poll released today had Obama and McCain tied at 48 percent each. A week ago, McCain had a 49 percent-to-47 percent lead over Obama in Virginia in the Rasmussen data.
The Rasmussen numbers had favorabilty ratings basically even for the two – with McCain at 56 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable, and Obama at 55 percent favorable and 43 percent unfavorable. McCain has a slight lead among independent voters – 46 percent to 43 percent. Last week, McCain led among this demographic by a 50 percent-to-39 percent margin.
Interesting from the new SurveyUSA numbers – last week’s data had McCain ahead of Obama in the Shenandoah Valley by a 60 percent-to-36 percent gulf. This week’s polling has it much closer, at 53 percent for McCain to 44 percent for Obama.
Obama leads in the other three regions of the state in the SurveyUSA data.
And the winner is … Brian Moran. OK, so he’s the leader on his way to the first tee.
