Politics Notebook: On the campaign trail

Kaine statement on U.S. Senate budget votes In response to the votes the U.S. Senate took on five proposed budgets yesterday, Tim Kaine released the following statement:

“The Senate voted down five bad budgets yesterday. They proved once again that they can block action, even on the most important and critical matters of the day. Read more

PPP breaks down Virginia electorate on 2014 Senate race, 2016 presidential race, more

-An epic US Senate contest in 2014 between Mark Warner and Bob McDonnell…might not be that epic. Warner leads McDonnell 51-40 in a hypothetical head to head. Warner would take 14% of the Republican vote while McDonnell gets just 7% of Democrats, and Warner has a narrow edge with independents as well. McDonnell is popular but there’s still no doubt who Virginia’s favorite politician is.

-Virginians would prefer that neither Warner nor McDonnell go for the White House in 2016. They’re pretty closely divided on a possible Warner bid with 34% saying he should run and 39% that he should not. There’s less division in regards to McDonnell. Only 24% think he should run for President while 52% are opposed to the possibility. Read more

Poll: Obama up big in Virginia

A new Public Policy Polling survey of Virginia voters has Democrat Barack Obama with an eight-point lead over likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

The Obama lead over Romney was at 51 percent-to-43 percent in the PPP survey. Public Policy Polling has had Obama leading Virginia by similar margins for much of the past year. Read more

PPP: Santorum polling better than Romney against Obama

New polling by Public Policy Polling has for the first time a GOP candidate other than Mitt Romney faring better in a hypothetical matchup with Barack Obama.

Rick Santorum, riding the wave of a string of victories in Republican presidential contests last week, has for now the mantle of “most electable” Republican candidate, according to numbers released by PPP on Tuesday. Read more

Poll: Santorum builds big, if brief, lead in GOP race

It may be fleeting, but Rick Santorum is riding a wave of enthusiasm about victories in presidential contests in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado earlier in the week to a big lead for the Republican Party nomination in a new national poll.

A Public Policy Polling survey released on Saturday has Santorum with the support of 38 percent among Republican voters, with Mitt Romney at 23 percent, Newt Gingrich at 17 percent and Ron Paul at 13 percent.

Santorum is benefitting from high net favorability among GOP voters (64 percent rate him favorably, 22 percent unfavorably) and the for-the-moment cratering of both Romney and Gingrich. Romney has a +1 net favorability rating (44 percent favorable, 43 percent unfavorable), and Gingrich has a -1 net favorability among Republicans (43 percent favorable, 44 percent unfavorable). Read more

Poll: Romney now holds lead in Florida

Whatever momentum that Newt Gingrich had after his big win in South Carolina seems to be eroding, with new polling in Florida showing Mitt Romney on top by eight points.

The latest Public Policy Polling Florida poll has Romney at 40 percent and Gingrich at 32 percent. On Tuesday, PPP had Gingrich at 38 percent and Romney at 33 percent.

The most recent poll has Rick Santorum a distant third at 15 percent and Ron Paul further back in fourth at 9 percent.

Inside the numbers – it appears that a wave of negative attacks on Gingrich have taken their toll. Gingrich’s net favorability has declined 13 points since Tuesday (from +23 to +10) as Romney’s has actually improved slightly (from +31 to +33).

More from the poll: www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/01/romney-up-in-florida.html.

Poll: Gingrich has early lead in Florida

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has a five-point lead on Mitt Romney among Florida Republicans, according to poll numbers released on Monday by Public Policy Polling.

PPP has Gingrich at 38 percent in Florida and Romney at 33 percent. Rick Santorum, who won the Iowa caucus earlier this month, is a distant third at 13 percent, with Ron Paul in fourth at 10 percent.

Gingrich appears to be benefitting from the momentum of his big victory in South Carolina over the weekend. Romney had led Gingrich in Florida by a 41 percent-to-26 percent margin in a PPP poll released a week ago.

More on the poll online at www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/01/newt-up-5-in-florida.html.