Tag: polls

virginia general assembly

What happens when the Mark Herring-Mark Obenshain race goes to recount?

It’s almost dangerous to say this, but as of this writing, Republican Mark Obenshain has a 681-vote lead over Democrat Mark Herring in the too-close-to-call Virginia attorney general race. And now the focus shifts to the inevitable recount that is to come, even as the candidates jockey for position in the ongoing PR battle.


Chris Graham: Whither Robert Sarvis and the Virginia Libertarian Party?

OK, so he didn’t get 10 percent, and he surely didn’t win. But Robert Sarvis held on to most of the support that he was getting in polls taken before the 2013 Virginia governor election. What does this mean for Sarvis and for the Libertarian Party whose banner he carried? Not much, actually, despite what you’re hearing from the Libertarians.


democrats republicans

Winners/Losers: The 2013 Virginia elections

Winner: Terry McAuliffe This one is obvious. The Macker didn’t win by anywhere near the margin the final polls had indicated, but a win is a win is a win. Loser: Terry McAuliffe Also obvious. He wins by 10 points, he has a mandate. He wins by two, and he’s greeted by House Speaker Bill Howell trash-talking him.


republican

Chris Graham: Did the GOP blow the Virginia election? Let me count the ways

Terry McAuliffe outspent his Republican gubernatorial opponent by more than $17 million, and won the election by two and a half points. So, yeah, this one was the Virginia GOP’s race to win. Don’t let them sell you now on the idea that they pulled off some miracle in just losing by 55,000 votes after being down by double digits in the polls last week.


virginia general assembly

Chris Graham: Handicapping the Virginia governor race, other state races

It’s hard, really hard, to imagine Democrat Terry McAuliffe not winning the 2013 Virginia governor’s race, and by a relatively safe margin. McAuliffe, the former Democratic National Committee chair, has a lead of at least six points in every legitimate poll taken of the race in the past week, with two polls putting his lead in the low- to mid-double digits.


virginia general assembly

Quinnipiac: Terry McAuliffe with six-point lead in Virginia governor race

The final Quinnipiac University poll of the 2013 election season has Democrat Terry McAuliffe with a six-point lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor race. McAuliffe gets 46 percent in the latest poll, with Cuccinelli at 40 percent and Libertarian Robert Sarvis at 8 percent.


virginia general assembly

Final PPP poll: McAuliffe, Northam, Herring with leads in state races

Terry McAuliffe is seen as the lesser of two evils, mediocre choices, whatever, and thus seems poised to win the 2013 Virginia governor race.


tv

New Dem TV ad: Cuccinelli ‘happy’ with Tea Party government shutdown

Polls show Virginia voters didn’t like the 16-day federal government shutdown, and that the bulk of those voters blame Republicans for the shutdown. A new Democratic Party of Virginia TV ad, “Happy With It,” will remind voters on Election Day that Republican governor nominee Ken Cuccinelli was, well, happy with it.


law

ACLU of Virginia Election Day hotline to help voters with problems at polls

The American Civil Liberties Union of Virginia will offer an election hotline to answer questions from voters who encounter problems at the polls on Election Day. Most problems at the polls arise from a combination of voters not knowing their rights and poll workers not being sufficiently informed about election law.


Your tax dollars at work: Cuccinelli’s AG office press release plays politics

Republican gubernatorial nominee Ken Cuccinelli, trailing in the polls heading into the final weekend of the 2013 election, is playing up his opposition to Obamacare to try to stir up his political base. Cuccinelli’s office on Friday sent out a press release touting how he “applauded the efforts of employers in Virginia and elsewhere” challenging the IRS on Obamacare.


business

Is Quinnipiac fudging the numbers on closer governor’s race?

Is Quinnipiac fudging the numbers on closer governor’s race? A new Quinnipiac poll has Democrat Terry McAuliffe’s lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli at four points, even as other recent polls have had McAuliffe leading the race by double digits. A look at the poll’s internals might give an indication to the diverging trends.


law

PAC ads, website seek to educate Virginians on GOP efforts to block vote

The American Bridge 21st Century PAC is highlighting a law passed by the Republican General Assembly aimed at limiting voter turnout among minorities and lower-income residents.


democrats republicans

Washington Post poll: Ralph Northam, Mark Herring open up leads downticket

Democrat Ralph Northam has opened up a large lead in the Virginia lieutenant governor race, and ticketmate Mark Herring has pushed ahead in the attorney general race.


president obama

Ken Cuccinelli goes Obamacare on Terry McAuliffe

Down big in the polls, Ken Cuccinelli is playing his last card, Obamacare.


Robert Sarvis on the debate: ‘A complete farce’

You can forgive Robert Sarvis for being a bit bitter. Sarvis is on the ballot for governor as the Libertarian Party nominee, he’s polling 10 percent or above in most polls, and yet he was strong-armed out of a slot in the final gubernatorial debate of the 2013 election cycle because, well, because he’s not a Democrat or Republican.


virginia general assembly

Cuccinelli memo spins backdrop for tonight’s gubernatorial debate

The Democratic Party is in disarray over the ObamaCare rollout, and Terry McAuliffe is going to have to answer for his continued support of the Affordable Care Act.


UVa. women’s hoops picked eighth in preseason ACC poll

UVa. women’s basketball senior guard Ataira Franklin earned preseason All-Atlantic Coast Conference honors for the second-straight year, being named to both the ten-member Blue Ribbon Panel and the Coaches’ Preseason All-ACC teams.


Quinnipiac: McAuliffe leads governor’s race by seven

A new Quinnipiac University poll has the Virginia governor’s race basically where it was two weeks ago. Democrat Terry McAuliffe leads Republican Ken Cuccinelli by a 46 percent-to-39 percent margin. Libertarian Robert Sarvis is at 10 percent in the poll.


Rasmussen: McAuliffe opens 17-point lead in Virginia governor’s race

A new Rasmussen Reports survey of Virginia voters has Democrat Terry McAuliffe with a commanding 17-point lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor’s race.


virginia general assembly

Analysis: Any fireworks in the final Virginia governor’s debate?

Might Ken Cuccinelli have an October surprise for Terry McAuliffe? Can McAuliffe stay on-script and avoid being off-the-cuff this one last time?


tv

Cuccinelli camp continues effort to kneecap McAuliffe with new TV ad

The Ken Cuccinelli gubernatorial campaign, buried under deep negatives in recent polls, is continuing its fight-fire-with-fire effort with a new TV spot, “Not Realistic,” trying to pin big tax increases on Democrat Terry McAuliffe.


virginia general assembly

McAuliffe, Cuccinelli in spotlight over abortion

Ken Cuccinelli thinks God will punish America over a woman’s right to choose. Terry McAuliffe supports late-term abortion.


virginia general assembly

Poll: McAuliffe continues to hold big lead in governor’s race

A new NBC4/Marist poll has Democrat Terry McAuliffe up eight points on Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor’s race.


business

Poll: Shutdown hurting GOP in Senate battlegrounds

The aims of Republicans to take over the Senate in 2014 have taken a serious hit with the ongoing government shutdown, according to new Public Policy Polling surveys in six battleground states.


Robert Sarvis denied spot in WDBJ governor’s debate

Robert Sarvis is rising in the polls, but his improved showing wasn’t enough to earn him a spot in the Oct. 24 governor’s debate being sponsored by WDBJ in Roanoke.


democrats republicans

Chris Graham: Negotiate, or else

We’ve got your daughter. We don’t want anything bad to happen. But you want to negotiate, we’re ready to negotiate. Isn’t that what it feels like Republicans are doing in this increasingly insane government shutdown fiasco?


Two new polls have McAuliffe with bigger lead in governor’s race

A Roanoke College poll out today has Democrat Terry McAuliffe leading Republican Ken Cuccinelli by six points, and a new Christopher Newport University poll has McAuliffe up by nine points.


Re-reading the tea leaves

It has been a foregone conclusion for months now that Republicans are going to sweep the midterms in November, but … I can’t get over how so many of the polling numbers that I see indicate to me that Democrats and Republicans are basically in a dead heat on the various generic ballots out there. […]


Daily Rant | Polls

Why do they seem so volatile? It’s not that the electorate is necessarily that fickle. No, it’s in the way polls are conducted. AFP editor Chris Graham dusts off his academic background in political science to explain the shortcomings of modern-day polling.