Chris Saxman: Cold Fusion Friday
Happy warmer Friday to you! Blessedly we are more than halfway through the month of February. There is a reason why February is only 28 days – do you know what it is?
Right – to end it sooner than the other months. I know everyone seems to have a top ten list for this or that but I have to be honest, February would not make my Top 12 Months.
So you can probably imagine how excited I am about next year’s February line up – Feb 4th – Iowa Caucus, Feb 14th Mom’s birthday (YAY mom!) but that joy and St. Valentine’s Day will be off set by the New Hampshire Primary on the same day – can’t wait for the February 15th headlines “New Hampshire St. Valentine’s Day Massacre – Candidates X, Y and Z “suspend” their campaigns”, and then the Nevada Caucus on February 18th.
One year from today, we will have a clearer picture who the the Republicans will nominate to run against Obama. Yes, I still think for a number of reasons Barack Obama will be re-elected, but that is presumptuous and somewhat designed to get people in gear.
Let’s get it in gear!
First of all, I will likely cross off my list of POTUS candidates any candidate who tries to lay claim to being the heir of Ronald Reagan. Who wants to support someone who is trying to be someone he or she can never ever be? Why is Chris Christie so popular in GOP circles? Authenticity. Palin? Same way. Huckabee? To a degree, but that is not his strength.
Don’t get me wrong, I think Ronald Reagan was a great president (even though I voted for the Libertarian in the 1980 Lee High Presidential election as a sophomore – let it go – it was once) and is rightly held up as a great president.
I just think that people have so mistreated and mislabeled the Reagan brand of conservatism in order to justify their current positions. It seems candidates like to say that they are “Reagan Conservatives” when the Reagan record as president would be hard to defend in the early primary states – the fall of communism notwithstanding.
Last week I asked you to consider whether Ronald Reagan could win the GOP nomination for POTUS. Just think about it. Mull it over. I did not get a lot of feedback on it which was interesting to say the least.
Okay – the path to nomination is pretty well set – Iowa, NH, Nevada and SC. In 1980, there were seven candidates who got percentage votes in Iowa, but Reagan lost to Bush 1. He then came back to win New Hampshire and other states including South Carolina.
If there are going to be about 10 candidates attending the debate this coming May 2nd at the Reagan Library, how many of them, give or take 10, are going to hail Ronald Reagan for raising taxes, increasing the deficit, increasing the debt, increasing spending, and granting amnesty to illegal immigrants? How many, give or take 10, will say Reagan was a great compromiser with Senate and House Democrats? Abortion? Wasn’t he pro-choice as governor of California? That will sell in Upstate South Carolina. Not.
It is entirely inappropriate to take Reagan and offer whether or not he could win the 2012 primary – hell, I might even write him in – it was an academic exercise. Who knows what would happen if Reagan was in the mix with the current crop of potential candidates. My point is this – people are very selective when it comes to branding themselves as a Reagan conservative and I really think they all ought to examine Ronald Wilson Reagan the person, the authentic person that he truly was and not what they think won him elections – their positions in 2011.
Governing is not campaigning but you have to campaign while you govern even in Virginia with a one term (thank God!) governor. It’s always about selling the public on the issues of the day. But governing demands compromise which is a tough sell early in the nomination process. Compromise is essential to governing well. The critical point is in which direction are you compromising. Are you doing it from a position of strength or weakness?
What is the #1 legacy of Reagan? He defeated Communism, right? To get there, he had to make a lot of deals, stand a lot ground and win a lot of battles. He did not campaign touting his ability to compromise (govern) and neither will the current crop.
At CPAC last week, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels (a top 3 candidate for me) stated that our “Red Menace” is our fiscal situation. He also said that he was not going to sacrifice the republic in order to say “I told you so”. Refreshing. Honest. Authentic.
The question these days in not whether it will sell in Peoria, but rather will it sell in Greenville/Spartanburg. Upstate South Carolina, in my honest opinion, will determine who the Republicans nominate for POTUS.
Yes, I still say the RNC should have the convention in Philadelphia on April 15th and not Tampa. Just saying…..Winning Florida is critical, but where was the convention in 2004? New York City – it was about the narrative of winning the war on terror with a 9/11 backdrop. In 2012, the theme should not be winning Florida or for the DNC winning North Carolina (they picked Charlotte). The theme should be centered on our fiscal “Red Menace” and governing.
We are running a deficit of 1.6 trillion and Obama is touting light rail. Dis. Connect. Tampa….The GOP picked Tampa. Connect in Florida. The other 49? Dis. Connect.
Tampa has a great steak house – Bern’s. Hell, I would a hop a plane now to eat there tonight. But I think Reagan might have picked Philly….the 1980 convention? Detroit.
Column by Chris Saxman
Chris Saxman: Cold Fusion Friday
Cold Fusion Friday Before Valentine’s Day – Feb 14 – my mom’s birthday!
Coming to you from the heart of downtown Norfolk, I would like to thank all the readers who caught my typo in last week’s email about employers/employees in the Unemployment Insurance topic. Thanks also to those who see the need to reverse the flow of subsidy from unemployment to EMployment. Now, call your elected reps.
On to this week. The big news is still Egypt and while some took my ignorance of the situation as intentional, I can assure you that it was not at all. I am quite concerned about Egypt and its potential move to a government run by the Muslim Brotherhood. The fact was and remains that I am not qualified to comment on the inner workings of Egyptian politics and culture. No elections. No jobs. No booze. Small wonder why they have a revolution on their hands.
I do share the opinion of George Will that the Obama administration is not to blame for not knowing that this was going to happen. Like every other country in the world, we did not see this one coming just like we did not see the market collapse in the fall of 2008.
Blame and recriminations never solve anything; however, the handling of the situation in Egypt by the Obama administration has not done anything to advance our standing in the world. In fact, it continues to shrink. As columnist Rich Galen said, “this one is his”.
If it works out like Berlin in the 80s – awesome. If it work out like Teheran in the 70s – uh oh.
Obama has tried to tie the entire financial crisis and resulting recession on the GOP and Bush 2 despite the fact that was elected to the US Senate in 2005 and then chose to run for POTUS in the same year. Even if you ride the bench, you are there and cannot claim otherwise. They don’t give out Super Bowl rings to just those who played – everyone on the team, injured or otherwise, gets one. If you lose, you were a member of the losing team. Wait, this is politics…never mind…
While any objective person can see that both parties are responsible for our economic/fiscal situation, foreign policy is the sole domain of the executive branch. Galen’s right. This one is Obama’s and could seriously threaten his re-election if Egypt goes hard line or this spills over into other areas of the Muslim world. Barack Hussein Obama. I’ll take Bad Narratives for 270, Alex.
What percentage of Muslims in the world live in the Middle East? About 20%. Uh oh…
Some are suggesting the delicious irony of celebrating the 100th birthday of Ronald Reagan, one of our greatest presidents of ever who is credited with the downfall of the Soviet Empire, during this foreign policy crisis. I am not among them but it does call to mind Lloyd Bentsen’s famous jab at Dan Quail (yes, I know it is Quayle)….remember? “I knew Jack Kennedy and you’re no Jack Kennedy”.
How so? Well, the narrative that is being developed on the Obama re-elect was supposed to be like Reagan ’84 – economic comeback, morning in America again etc. Greatness. Not happening. We knew Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama is no Ronald Reagan. Not even close. Heck, a recent Iowa GOP Caucus focus group had a majority of the participants questioning whether Obama is Muslim or not. Why was Clinton pictured coming out of church with a Bible in his hand just about every Sunday morning? I digress….but…..pictures speak louder than words regardless of speaking skills.
Both Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama are probably two of the top five presidents ever when it comes to being able to deliver a speech. The difference? Reagan said something memorable because he believed it to his core. Obama? Great speaker. Amazing. There’s just something missing in his communication skills and I think it is, sadly, sincerity. I just don’t think he sees America as a great country with a purpose in this world. Maybe I’m wrong, but I just don’t think he feels our pain, pride or place. Reagan grew up in Illinois, the heartland. Connection
Obama grew up in Hawaii and Indonesia, the islands. Dis.Connection.
Question for you. My thoughts will be shared next week, but feel free to reply now.
Would Ronald Reagan be nominated for POTUS in today’s Republican Party? Remember he lost twice before winning in 1980.
The NFL season is over and my beloved Steelers were unable to win their 7th Super Bowl. I said that turnovers decide games like those and I was right – unfortunately. Congratulations to the Packers. Good game. We’ll be back! How’s this for a statistic – 45 Super Bowls and the Steelers have been in 15 AFC Championship games. 1 out of every 3 years. WOW. I did enjoy watching Staubach hand the Vince Lombardi Trophy to Bradshaw. The Steelers lost and the season is over, on the other hand baseball is right around the corner and the Pirates have already lost their season – they lost the first arbitration case of the off season. They had a pitcher go 1-11 last year and he got a 1.5 million dollar salary increase off a base of about 450,000. Increase. 1.5 million for one win on top of the 450. Teach your kid a backdoor cutter and a change up…just sayin….
The Grammy Awards are Sunday – so be sure to pick out a good book because you won’t miss a thing by not watching that show. C’mon Sax….you never know…it could be fun and interesting! Really? REALLY? Did you make it through the Black Eyed Peas Super Bowl half time show without just one suicidal or homicidal thought? Heck, I briefly flirted with becoming pro-choice watching that one. Mubarak should have hired that show – would have cleared the square, the suburbs and the Suez in an Egyptian minute.
Column by Chris Saxman
Chris Saxman: Cold Fusion Friday
Okay – this is a REALLY cold Cold Fusion Friday – but this too shall pass.
Just filled up the Avis rental out here in Phoenix (temps in the *gasp* 40s!) and unleaded regular was $3.23 a gallon. I am little more concerned about the upward trend of the the gas prices than the downward trend of the air temps. We expect winter weather in winter, but we really like to talk about it. Unlike gas prices – but that will end when it hits $3.50 a gallon nationally around Memorial Day. It will be talked about. A lot.
So – Unemployment Insurance. The purpose of unemployment insurance is to provide income to those workers who are laid off through no fault of their own. While it clearly helps people pay their bills during difficult times, are we as a society getting our money’s worth? What is our value add from this system?
Given that in the Commonwealth of Virginia, in the calendar year 2010, we will have taken in and disbursed approximately $1.7 billion in direct payments to those who qualify for UI. Let’s write that out…1,700,000,000 dollars. That’s a lot of money and it comes, ultimately, from you.
I believe that we need to stop subsidizing unemployment and use UI payments to subsidize employment instead. While many will criticize this out of the gate as being a way for companies to exploit workers, please understand that my primary purpose in this is total value add for our country. The biggest problem with UI is that it pays people not to work, not to be productive and to be of value. We cannot subsidize the erosion of the human dignity that is associated with work.
If we reversed the system and had people using that UI paycheck as a enticement for employers to supplement that with a negotiated pay on top of the UI check, the person would be employed and productive and actually generating more money for the economy. Would it rescue the economy? No, the numbers are not that dynamic, but it would, far more importantly, rescue the person whose dignity is slowly eroding with every passing day in which they apply for jobs and are rejected.
Are there jobs to be had? Yes. But many employers are reluctant to hire because of the costs associated with each new hire. One of those costs is paying into the UI program – so that new hire is much more expensive than the salary, health care and other fringe benefits. Why not use the UI system to help employers hire people with their own money?
If we can reform welfare as we did in the 1990s, we can certainly reform this system to the benefit of society one unemployed person at a time. How do we accomplish this? We must change federal and state laws to allow the states to become the laboratories of innovation and let the states get creative.
Here’s how I envision a program working. Laid off worker goes into a company and says that he/she was recently laid off and is eligible to receive $350 a week, net of taxes, but must work 35 hours a week to earn it. The employer may choose to hire this person and offer them more money which would be negotiated by the two parties to their mutual benefit. The original UI benefit expires as is written in current law so that the worker and employer are assured of that primary source of income. Then as that term expires, the worker would hopefully have shown long term value to the employer and would be able to continue on as a full time employee. If not, the employer would have earned more money, would have been a more productive citizen, and would have more skills and basic self dignity than if they had been paid to not work at all.
If you have any thoughts on this idea, please feel free to share them.
On to the situation in Egypt. From conversations I have had with folks about the revolution in Egypt, the first thing on people’s minds is the effect it has on oil/gas prices.
We, as a nation, must become energy independent. We cannot have our economy subject to the situations of other countries.
I really don’t know much about Egypt nor will pretend to other than to say that whatever happens there should not impact how much we pay at the pump.
As a segue into to the Super Bowl, imagine if the Packers let the Steelers call their defensive plays 70% of the time and the Steelers won the game. Okay, as a life long Steeler fan that’s a great visual; however, it’s so ridiculous on its face, right?
Well, that’s our energy policy wrapped in the Sphinx of the NFL. (note Egypt reference). I know – it’s not great but I tried. Anyway, the Packers are favored slightly in this game and should be – they are peaking and Rodgers is H. O. T red hot right now.
These games come down to turnovers and field position. The Steeler special teams concern me especially on kickoff coverage. Both teams will want to see if they can establish the run and neither will be able to – so look for a second half barn burner with the Steelers winning 35-31.
Until next week when Cold Fusion Friday will reflect more on Egypt and the 100th anniversary of Ronald Wilson Reagan’s birth, have a great weekend and Go Steelers! HERE WE GO STEELERS! HERE WE GO!
Column by Chris Saxman

















Chris Saxman: Cold Fusion Friday-Midterm Exam
Posted by afp on March 12, 2011 · 5 Comments
2.Approximately what percentage of the world’s Muslims live in the Middle East? A) 80 B) 20 C) 60 D) 40 E) not enough.
3.The worst news of the week was A) The Japanese Tsunami B) Wisconsin ended collective bargaining for their public employees (except police and fire fighters) C) Charlie Sheen’s train wreck continued D) Investors are starting to dump US treasuries because they cannot see investing in the US 30 years out or E) Virginia lost a TEN point lead with 38 seconds to go against Miami in the opening round of the ACC men’s basketball tournament and then lost the game by SEVEN in overtime.
4.According to a phone survey of Republican voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Michigan and South Carolina which candidate is the most likely to win the nomination in 2012? Mitt Romney B) Mike Huckabee C) Sarah Palin D) Newt Gingrich E) Charlie Sheen
5.Lent began this week on A) Tiger Blood Thursday B) Cold Fusion Friday C) Fat Tuesday D) Ash Wednesday E) Dumping US Treasuries Saturday
6.The average price for a gallon of unleaded gasoline reached $3.52 this week. Which US city has the highest average price at $3.91? A) Los Angeles B) San Francisco C) Denver D) Chicago E) Washington DC
7.Republicans in Congress want to cut funding of PBS because A) it’s not a core function of government B) it has a left wing bias against the GOP C) it helps them raise money D) we have a 1.6 Trillion deficit and this is just not as important as investors getting out of buying US Treasury notes E) Juan Williams used to work there
8.The last time Vice President Joe Biden was seen in public was A) Last April during the Deepwater Horizon cleanup efforts B) the 2011 Super Bowl where he watched his beloved Philadelphia Eagles win the the SB for the first time ever C) on the Wheel of Fortune Valentine’s Day Special D) at the ribbon cutting for the newly refurbished Scranton Waffle House E) Who’s Joe Biden?
9.The best news of this week was not seeing A) Nancy Pelosi once B) Jesse Jackson sing “We Shall Overcome” in Madison, Wisconsin C) Michael Moore rally the crowd in Madison (yes, he was there – just happy I didn’t see that. If a tree falls and….) D) Crude oil prices top $110 a barrel yet E) an ad for Tiger Blood – yes, Virginia there is a drink by that name in Australia.
10.The greatest threat to the middle class in the United States is A) 107 trillion dollars in unfunded entitlement liabilities B) Charlie Sheen on Skype C) Facebook D) The Governor of Wisconsin E) the unintended yet dangerously corrupting influences of big government and big corporations working together for their mutual benefit.
11.Man’s best friend is A) his dog B) his television C) unavailable for golf this weekend again D) unlikely to know his birthday and even if he did, wouldn’t even buy him a beer E) a bowl of non fat vanilla yogurt with All Bran.
12. The color of John Wayne’s Prius would have been A) Lobotomy Red B) Lobotomy Blue C) Lobotomy Green D) Lobotomy Orange E) Okay Pilgrim, Black and White.
13.The price of airline tickets should be based on A) Supply and Demand B) A formula set by the government C) Body Mass Index D) Body Mass Index E) Body Mass Index.
14. The World Cup of Rugby is scheduled to take place this September in what country? A) New Zealand B)Australia C)Ireland D) Great Britain E) Not the USA
15.The best beer is A) Murphy’s Stout B) Chimay Ale C) Smithwick’s Ale D) Bass Ale (not a top 5 for me but if I didn’t put it in here I would never hear the end of it from a friend who is beyond obsessed with Bass Ale. Oddly, he will drink a Mai Tai with one – seriously) and the obvious best beer is E) very cold and free
16. Rugby is to beer what soccer is to A) scoreless ties B) games where no score is even kept C) John Wayne’s Prius D) fifth place trophies E) watching Joy Behar on The View.
Extra Credit
1.Merit Pay for Teachers or Congress? Pick one.
2. Wisconsin Unions campaigned for a candidate for POTUS in 2008 who ran on a platform of Hope and Change. How’d it go?
3.The Obama Administration will lift the moratorium on offshore drilling after what national holiday in September?
4. March Madness 2011 will be led by A) Charlie Sheen B) BYU’s Jimmer Fredette C) the bond market
5. Is St. Patrick a saint?
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