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	<title>Comments on: Weather Blog: 20 to 30 inches or more of snow possible</title>
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	<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/</link>
	<description>The Valley. Virginia. Defined. News from AugustaFreePress.com.</description>
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		<title>By: Raymond Firehock</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109458</link>
		<dc:creator>Raymond Firehock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Feb 2010 12:53:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109458</guid>
		<description>The second para of my previous comment should be attributed to: &quot; House Committee on Energy and Commerce Testimony July 27, 2006:  TESTIMONY: 
JAY GULLEDGE, Ph.D., SENIOR FELLOW, PEW CENTER ON GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, July 27, 2006&quot;

The NAS quote appears in that testimony, also.

http://www.pewclimate.org/what_s_being_done/in_the_congress/7_27_06.cfm</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The second para of my previous comment should be attributed to: &#8221; House Committee on Energy and Commerce Testimony July 27, 2006:  TESTIMONY:<br />
JAY GULLEDGE, Ph.D., SENIOR FELLOW, PEW CENTER ON GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, July 27, 2006&#8243;</p>
<p>The NAS quote appears in that testimony, also.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.pewclimate.org/what_s_being_done/in_the_congress/7_27_06.cfm" rel="nofollow">http://www.pewclimate.org/what_s_being_done/in_the_congress/7_27_06.cfm</a></p>
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		<title>By: Crystal Graham</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109413</link>
		<dc:creator>Crystal Graham</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Feb 2010 04:27:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109413</guid>
		<description>A backhoe clearing snow has apparently crashed into the back of the Augusta Cleaners building on Federal Street in downtown Waynesboro. More details soon.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A backhoe clearing snow has apparently crashed into the back of the Augusta Cleaners building on Federal Street in downtown Waynesboro. More details soon.</p>
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		<title>By: Raymond Firehock</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109398</link>
		<dc:creator>Raymond Firehock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Feb 2010 03:06:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109398</guid>
		<description>The National Academy of Sciences (and others) looked at Mann&#039;s data and conclusions both from 1400 AD and his data covering the earlier period.  The conclusions?

&quot;The basic conclusion of MBH99 [Mann&#039;s later paper] was that the late 20th century warmth in the Northern Hemisphere was unprecedented during at least the last 1,000 years. This conclusion has subsequently been supported by an array of evidence that includes both additional large-scale surface temperature reconstructions and pronounced changes in a variety of local proxy indicators, such as melting on icecaps and the retreat of glaciers around the world, which in many cases appear to be unprecedented during at least the last 2,000 years. Not all individual proxy records indicate that the recent warmth is unprecedented, although a larger fraction of geographically diverse sites experienced exceptional warmth during the late 20th century than during any other extended period from A.D. 900 onward.&quot;


Carrying the correction back to the full millennium reveals that the largest effects remain in the early 15th century, and both earlier and later periods were less affected. Therefore, there is very little difference between the corrected MBH98 and MBH99 reconstructions and the originals, and the original observation that the late 20th century is uniquely warm in the context of the past 1,000 years is not affected.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The National Academy of Sciences (and others) looked at Mann&#8217;s data and conclusions both from 1400 AD and his data covering the earlier period.  The conclusions?</p>
<p>&#8220;The basic conclusion of MBH99 [Mann's later paper] was that the late 20th century warmth in the Northern Hemisphere was unprecedented during at least the last 1,000 years. This conclusion has subsequently been supported by an array of evidence that includes both additional large-scale surface temperature reconstructions and pronounced changes in a variety of local proxy indicators, such as melting on icecaps and the retreat of glaciers around the world, which in many cases appear to be unprecedented during at least the last 2,000 years. Not all individual proxy records indicate that the recent warmth is unprecedented, although a larger fraction of geographically diverse sites experienced exceptional warmth during the late 20th century than during any other extended period from A.D. 900 onward.&#8221;</p>
<p>Carrying the correction back to the full millennium reveals that the largest effects remain in the early 15th century, and both earlier and later periods were less affected. Therefore, there is very little difference between the corrected MBH98 and MBH99 reconstructions and the originals, and the original observation that the late 20th century is uniquely warm in the context of the past 1,000 years is not affected.</p>
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		<title>By: afp</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109363</link>
		<dc:creator>afp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 22:46:36 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>4:50 p.m. Saturday update from the National Weather Service: The Winter Storm Warning has been canceled. The Valley snowstorm is coming to an end.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>4:50 p.m. Saturday update from the National Weather Service: The Winter Storm Warning has been canceled. The Valley snowstorm is coming to an end.</p>
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		<title>By: Farmer Frank</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109320</link>
		<dc:creator>Farmer Frank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 16:19:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109320</guid>
		<description>First time in many years that my cows did not leave the barn while it is snowing.  During the mid December snow they didn&#039;t mind going out and came back with their backs covered with snow.  Must be difference between the &quot;dry&quot; snow and &quot;wet&quot;snow.  This one has a ratio of just a little over 4:1.
Had to shore up one hay shed this AM.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>First time in many years that my cows did not leave the barn while it is snowing.  During the mid December snow they didn&#8217;t mind going out and came back with their backs covered with snow.  Must be difference between the &#8220;dry&#8221; snow and &#8220;wet&#8221;snow.  This one has a ratio of just a little over 4:1.<br />
Had to shore up one hay shed this AM.</p>
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		<title>By: afp</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109316</link>
		<dc:creator>afp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 15:58:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109316</guid>
		<description>10:02 a.m. Saturday update from the National Weather Service: Augusta County, Staunton and Waynesboro remain under a Winter Storm Warning through 10 p.m. Saturday.
Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are possible today. Total accumulations in the area of 12 to 18 inches are possible with this storm.
Temperatures are expected to stay in the upper 20s to lower 30s through the evening hours.
Sustained 10 mph winds are forecast for the remainder of the winter-storm event, with gusts up to 20 mph this morning.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>10:02 a.m. Saturday update from the National Weather Service: Augusta County, Staunton and Waynesboro remain under a Winter Storm Warning through 10 p.m. Saturday.<br />
Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are possible today. Total accumulations in the area of 12 to 18 inches are possible with this storm.<br />
Temperatures are expected to stay in the upper 20s to lower 30s through the evening hours.<br />
Sustained 10 mph winds are forecast for the remainder of the winter-storm event, with gusts up to 20 mph this morning.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian Rostron</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109198</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian Rostron</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 01:07:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109198</guid>
		<description>I figure it must have been warmer in the year 1000. Why else would the Vikings call Greenland that if it was icy like today?

***
Again, from Wikipedia:

A study by Michael Mann et al. finds that the MWP shows &quot;warmth that matches or exceeds that of the past decade in some regions, but which falls well below recent levels globally&quot;.[8] Their reconstruction of MWP pattern is characterised by warmth over large part of North Atlantic, Southern Greenland, the Eurasian Arctic, and parts of North America which appears to substantially exceed that of modern late 20th century (1961–1990) baseline and is comparable or exceeds that of the past one-to-two decades in some regions. Certain regions such as central Eurasia, northwestern North America, and (with less confidence) parts of South Atlantic, exhibit anomalous coolness.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I figure it must have been warmer in the year 1000. Why else would the Vikings call Greenland that if it was icy like today?</p>
<p>***<br />
Again, from Wikipedia:</p>
<p>A study by Michael Mann et al. finds that the MWP shows &#8220;warmth that matches or exceeds that of the past decade in some regions, but which falls well below recent levels globally&#8221;.[8] Their reconstruction of MWP pattern is characterised by warmth over large part of North Atlantic, Southern Greenland, the Eurasian Arctic, and parts of North America which appears to substantially exceed that of modern late 20th century (1961–1990) baseline and is comparable or exceeds that of the past one-to-two decades in some regions. Certain regions such as central Eurasia, northwestern North America, and (with less confidence) parts of South Atlantic, exhibit anomalous coolness.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian Rostron</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109195</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian Rostron</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 01:01:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109195</guid>
		<description>Michael Mann et al. start their graph in 1400. Everything looks warmer when your baseline is the Little Ice Age.
***

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/shared/articles/MannetalScience09.pdf</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael Mann et al. start their graph in 1400. Everything looks warmer when your baseline is the Little Ice Age.<br />
***</p>
<p><a href="http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/shared/articles/MannetalScience09.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/shared/articles/MannetalScience09.pdf</a></p>
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		<title>By: afp</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109182</link>
		<dc:creator>afp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 23:25:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109182</guid>
		<description>Unofficial snow total from Waynesboro: As of 6 p.m., 10 inches. Four inches in the past hour.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Unofficial snow total from Waynesboro: As of 6 p.m., 10 inches. Four inches in the past hour.</p>
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		<title>By: Raymond Firehock</title>
		<link>http://augustafreepress.com/2010/02/05/weather-update-20-to-30-inches-or-more-of-snow-possible/comment-page-1/#comment-109178</link>
		<dc:creator>Raymond Firehock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 23:10:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://augustafreepress.com/?p=17759#comment-109178</guid>
		<description>Should have never mentioned climate change.  But as long as I did, the past decade was the warmest in modern times (since reliable records were kept) on a global basis.  And all the good evidence points to increasing warmth driven by human activities.  I probably won&#039;t live to see the end, and for that I am glad.

That said, the birds did a good job on the feeders.  When I went out to top them off, I noticed that  unlike the last two big snows I am not sinking all the way down through powder snow.  I am not exactly walking on top of the snow (too much of me for that), but am only sinking in a bit.  This is heavier, wetter stuff which does not bode well for power lines, snow removal, and getting my car out.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Should have never mentioned climate change.  But as long as I did, the past decade was the warmest in modern times (since reliable records were kept) on a global basis.  And all the good evidence points to increasing warmth driven by human activities.  I probably won&#8217;t live to see the end, and for that I am glad.</p>
<p>That said, the birds did a good job on the feeders.  When I went out to top them off, I noticed that  unlike the last two big snows I am not sinking all the way down through powder snow.  I am not exactly walking on top of the snow (too much of me for that), but am only sinking in a bit.  This is heavier, wetter stuff which does not bode well for power lines, snow removal, and getting my car out.</p>
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