Rasmussen: McDonnell 51, Deeds 42
September 30, 2009 by afp
Filed under *VirginiaPoliticsToday.com
A new poll from Rasmussen Reports has Bob McDonnell reopening a healthy lead over Creigh Deeds in the Virginia governor’s race.
The Rasmussen poll has McDonnell with a 51 percent-to-42 percent lead over Deeds. Deeds had narrowed the McDonnell lead two weeks ago to a 48 percent-to-46 percent margin.
A Public Policy Polling survey released on Tuesday had the McDonnell lead at 48 percent to 43 percent for Deeds.
The Rasmussen survey was of 500 likely voters and was conducted on Tuesday. The PPP poll was of 576 likely voters and was conducted from Friday, Sept. 25, to Monday, Sept. 28.
The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the Democratic National Committee is reportedly holding on to its $5 million financial commitment to the Deeds campaign out of concern that the Deeds campaign has focused too much of its attention on the controversial Bob McDonnell 1989 grad-school thesis setting out a hardline social-conservative political agenda for his budding political career and not enough on putting down a framework for what a Deeds administration would do for Virginia.
The Rasmussen internals would seem to suggest a more favorable climate for Democrats generally this fall than the McDonnell-Deeds number would indicate. President Barack Obama had a 52 percent approval rating among the Virginia voters surveyed, and Gov. Tim Kaine, who is also the chair of the DNC, had a 59 percent approval rating among those surveyed.
McDonnell’s approval rating in the poll was at 53 percent. Deeds’ approval rating was at 46 percent.
- Story by Chris Graham
Rasmussen poll puts McDonnell up 9; 7 point swing | Bearing Drift :: Virginia Politics On-Demand on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 2:44 pm
[...] like to waste its money. Chris Graham, chairman of the Waynesboro Democratic Committee writes: “The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that [...]
$5 million? What $5 million? « The right-wing liberal on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 2:51 pm
[...] reporters admit to them). In his comments on the Rasmussen poll (which I examined on VV), he commits some news: The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the [...]
Deeds Slips In Latest Polls UPDATED DNC Withholding Money? « The TOXIC Mud Pit on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 3:26 pm
[...] heard about the thesis yet and McDonnell’s plan to resurrect the Dark Ages, I dunno. UPDATE- From a Lefty site: The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the [...]
Mike on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 3:44 pm
So all spring and summer, the comments have been “Once people know the real Bob McDonnell and his Pat Robertson connections, Democrats win.”
Now, the DNC bails in the final five weeks because Deeds has followed that gameplan?
McDonnell Up in Recent Rasmussen Poll « Virginia Values Voter Pac on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 4:07 pm
[...] to the Augusta Free Press, the Democratic National Committee is holding on to a $5 million contribution, due to the concern [...]
Tim Kaine Hedging His Bets on Deeds? on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 5:16 pm
[...] At the end of his coverage of the latest Rasmussen, Waynesboro County Committee Chairman posts what he’s hearing as a Democratic unit chairman: [...]
VA Blogger on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 5:54 pm
Looks like your story is well traveled, Chris!
chrisgraham on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 5:55 pm
Well, yeah. The Washington Post called a little while ago, and now the Deeds campaign wants to talk to me.
All for a buried passing comment. Interesting.
It’s good that people are paying that close attention.
Mike on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 6:01 pm
You made the Campaign Spot at National Review Online, also.
Congrats.
chrisgraham on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 6:59 pm
Never woulda dreamed that.
Patrick on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 9:07 pm
Proud of Mr. McDonnell. Proud of his pro-family positions. Proud of any association with Pat Robertson. Proud of his family and his daughters. But, I don’t really think any of that is the reason Deeds is losing traction.
The problem Deeds faces is that folks can see a breaking point in the future. Deeds didn’t bring it all on himself with a poor campaign strategy. But, he shouldn’t have been ambiguous about taxes. For all the well-meant ideas the Democrats have, the crux is the money. It simply runs out after the federal bail-outs, the patronage, the welfare programs, government funding of abortion doctors, ACORN, in-state tuition for illegals, Global Warming initiatives, Global Cooling Initiatives and the catch-all Climate-Change initiatives.
Deeds’ real opponent is the disgust that average folks feel with government waste and intrusiveness at the state AND national level. And, it is increasingly assigned to the Democrats (although the GOP has its share of the fiscally reckless).
The buck stops with the indebted taxpayer. And, today they are increasingly angry. Music soothes. So, a candidate that professes the virtues of job-creation, lower-taxes and less government is singing just the right song in this economy.
I’m old enough to know that the pendulum swings both ways. The Left has over-reached. And, the pendulum will swing back to the right, until they too over-reach or under-perform.
For the foreseeable future, (2009 and 2010), the Left will take some lumps.
Rasmussen has McDonnell with 9 pt. lead, Panic ensues… on Wed, 30th Sep 2009 10:24 pm
[...] $5 million? What $5 million? The right-wing liberal RWL quotes Augusta County Democrat Chris Graham: The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the Democratic National Committee is reportedly holding on to its $5 million financial commitment to the Deeds campaign out of concern that the Deeds campaign has focused too much of its attention on the controversial Bob McDonnell 1989 grad-school thesis setting out a hardline social-conservative political agenda for his budding political career and not enough on putting down a framework for what a Deeds administration would do for Virginia. [Augusta Free Press] [...]
DNC preparing to cut Creigh Deeds loose? - Moe_Lane’s blog - RedState on Thu, 1st Oct 2009 4:01 am
[...] next time it’s taken again, well. Let’s just say that a handy excuse would be… handy. The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the [...]
Moe Lane » DNC preparing to cut Creigh Deeds loose? on Thu, 1st Oct 2009 4:59 am
[...] next time it’s taken again, well. Let’s just say that a handy excuse would be… handy. The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the [...]
In Which Tim Kaine Sticks a Fork in Creigh Deeds - NormLeahy’s blog - RedState on Thu, 1st Oct 2009 9:17 am
[...] true, this may make for some interesting talk at the Democratic Party of Virginia’s next mixer. And even [...]
Chucky Cheese on Thu, 1st Oct 2009 9:57 am
I thought Rasmussen was code for FOX and if memory serves me right, Kilgore led Kaine into October before the majority came to their senses. So, these polls with less than a 1,000 participants are in my opinion, statistically inaccurate. I believe this race is to important nationally for the DNC to abandon Deeds and think that Warner will step up and be out endorsing Deeds heavily over the next month, along with Obama and Webb.
Mike on Thu, 1st Oct 2009 12:52 pm
Wikipedia has a page on the 2005 election, with a listing of all the polls. Kilgore did hold the lead in September, but it was smaller than what McDonnell has now.
FamilyFoundationBlog.com » Blog Archive » DNC To Pull Plug (And $5 Million) From Deeds? on Thu, 1st Oct 2009 1:22 pm
[...] in turn, took his info from a report in The Augusta Free Press (”The Valley’s Progressive News Source”) where…: The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the [...]
New ads focus on policy and social issues | Bearing Drift :: Virginia Politics On-Demand on Fri, 2nd Oct 2009 3:52 pm
[...] by 14 points - despite trying to hammer McDonnell for the thesis, as even the DNC is contemplating where to spend $5 million and states Virginia is nowhere near being blue, Deeds decides to go against what the people are [...]
Rasmussen shows McDonnell up nearly 10 points | You Decide Politics on Fri, 2nd Oct 2009 9:23 pm
[...] from the Augusta Free Press: A new poll from Rasmussen Reports has Bob McDonnell reopening a healthy lead over Creigh Deeds in [...]